I did.. I see an opinion article about a housing crash. I don't see anything about gas prices or the chart you posted without the headers. Want to try again?Or you could click on the link and go look for yourself.
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I did.. I see an opinion article about a housing crash. I don't see anything about gas prices or the chart you posted without the headers. Want to try again?Or you could click on the link and go look for yourself.
Just did some heavy lifting calculating out all the remaining absentee ballots for each county in GA with pending absentee ballots. A reporter pulled a list from the 11/4 absentee voter file subtracted by absentees already tabulated into the current results.
I basically gave Trump the exact same margin of victory in any red country he's already getting even if that included in-person voting. For the Biden counties I gave Biden the same exact margin EXCEPT for Fulton and Dekalb. I projected this out at 75/25 ratio for Biden/Trump.
This results in Biden winning by 13k or so. If I simply give Trump and Biden their current margins and don't tweak for the two Atlanta counties being bluer for absentee ballots, I see a Trump victory by 10k. That would be an absolute worst case scenario for Biden (outside of a bunch of ballots in a blue area being disqualified). A more aggressive scenario in which the remaining blue counties have absentee rates for Biden similar to what he's already racks up results in a Biden victory at about 20k or so.
I believe the range of possibilities to be Trump winning by 10k up to Biden winning by 20k. A blend gives us Biden by 13k as previously mentioned.
We'll just have to see how the final ballots look. If they are in the 13k - 20k range for Biden then no chance military ballots have an impact. I think if Biden wins by less than 5k then military ballots could push it almost to even but Biden would still be strongly favored.
Maybe my math is off or too optimistic. Maybe more Dem ballots need to he cured or are disqualified compared to GOP ballots. Maybe the remaining absentee are redder than expected. Any of that could happen. But, my best guess is Biden wins by somewhere around 13k or more.
I did.. I see an opinion article about a housing crash. I don't see anything about gas prices or the chart you posted without the headers. Want to try again?
Obviously Jones has some good civil rights victories, but I don’t know much else about him other than he is barely better than a pedophile and not as good a football coach who has no policies or agenda.I heard a blurb on WAFF that Biden may be considering Doug Jones as his Attorney General. Any thoughts on that?
Ok... I thought he meant the link he postedHe's referring to the link I posted. That's where his numbers came from.
I think he has the clueless football coach beatObviously Jones has some good civil rights victories, but I don’t know much else about him other than he is barely better than a pedophile and not as good a football coach who has no policies or agenda.
I mean I don't disagree with you, but where has this been for the last 4 years?Remember when a couple of crazies were asking Senator John McCain about Obama in 2008 during a town hall, accusing him of being involved in a cohort of domestic terrorists and extremist etc... And McCain stopped them to reject that notion and stated that his opponent was a decent family man and they just had disagreements? That's the class and character we need in our politics right now. Maybe it's a Trump effect but I couldn't imagine politicians these days just straight up denounce such rhetoric. Both sides need to condemn their respective extremist "teammates" and their outlandish claims (that's very unlikely to happen of course) because it seems to me that those groups are becoming larger and louder. The partisanship is absolutely going to run us into the ground.
On a similar note, I had somebody today (70+ year old lady), unprovoked, tell me that socialism is upon us with Biden now being elected. Uhhh. Sure we can reasonably disagree with the guys policies, but he's very far from a true socialist... Maybe it's just a buzz word??? How are we in a situation where people on the far left think Biden could be better if he was more left and people on the far right/medium right think he's a far left nut job? It seems like the people who see Biden as a generic Democrat politician are in the minority.
I am very appreciative that we can have a civil discussion on this forum with highly intelligent users from both sides of the isle bringing forward their perspectives. It's difficult to find such an educational and respectful political discussion anywhere on the internet or in real life these days. Thank you all for that.
My only thought includes my head in the palms of my hands shaking my head back and forth. We just had one failed Attorney General from Alabama, do we really think we need another failed Attorney General to make the state look even worse.I heard a blurb on WAFF that Biden may be considering Doug Jones as his Attorney General. Any thoughts on that?
Only in the fact that he has a law degree. However, he has been sided with the most liberal of Democrats when it comes to the Right to Life, Gun Control, and the push to Oust DJT whether you agree with him or not. I think most Alabamians are pro-life, even if you do not agree with the pro-life stance, you have to agree that Alabama as a majority does. I think Most Alabamians are Pro-Traditional Family, even if you don't agree with the pro-traditional family, I believe that Alabama as a majority does. So when someone like Doug Jones, comes in and tries to do things not according to the values of those who live in Alabama, he is going to get voted out. I really only think he was elected because of who his opponent was.I think he has the clueless football coach beat
Jones would be Biden's AG, so the media won't allow him to fail.My only thought includes my head in the palms of my hands shaking my head back and forth. We just had one failed Attorney General from Alabama, do we really think we need another failed Attorney General to make the state look even worse.
Or will cover for his failures.Jones would be Biden's AG, so the media won't allow him to fail.
I am definitely Pro-Life. I don't agree with Jones on his stance, but I've given up on the Repubs being serious about doing anything relevant on it besides giving it lip service. They had their chance 2-3 yrs ago and didn't do anything substantive. They use that as a carrot to dangle in front of Christians for political fodder.Only in the fact that he has a law degree. However, he has been sided with the most liberal of Democrats when it comes to the Right to Life, Gun Control, and the push to Oust DJT whether you agree with him or not. I think most Alabamians are pro-life, even if you do not agree with the pro-life stance, you have to agree that Alabama as a majority does. I think Most Alabamians are Pro-Traditional Family, even if you don't agree with the pro-traditional family, I believe that Alabama as a majority does. So when someone like Doug Jones, comes in and tries to do things not according to the values of those who live in Alabama, he is going to get voted out. I really only think he was elected because of who his opponent was.
I do hope that Tuberville Catches on and will be decent. Otherwise, he will be primaried in 6 years.
Unfortunately, I cannot refute or disagree with your statement. They have had opportunities.I am definitely Pro-Life. I don't agree with Jones on his stance, but I've given up on the Repubs being serious about doing anything relevant on it besides giving it lip service. They had their chance 2-3 yrs ago and didn't do anything substantive. They use that as a carrot to dangle in front of Christians for political fodder.
Only in the fact that he has a law degree. However, he has been sided with the most liberal of Democrats when it comes to the Right to Life, Gun Control, and the push to Oust DJT whether you agree with him or not. I think most Alabamians are pro-life, even if you do not agree with the pro-life stance, you have to agree that Alabama as a majority does. I think Most Alabamians are Pro-Traditional Family, even if you don't agree with the pro-traditional family, I believe that Alabama as a majority does. So when someone like Doug Jones, comes in and tries to do things not according to the values of those who live in Alabama, he is going to get voted out. I really only think he was elected because of who his opponent was.
I do hope that Tuberville Catches on and will be decent. Otherwise, he will be primaried in 6 years.