2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Discussion in 'Tropical Weather' started by Mike S, Apr 5, 2018.

  1. Kory

    Kory Member

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    In other news, GFS and CMC showing tropical cyclongenesis in the W Caribbean and moving north into the Gulf over the course of the next week.
     
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  2. Austin Dawg

    Austin Dawg Member

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    GFS showing something tropical, but not intense, rolling up here into Texas and breaking the heat and dry weather. If it stayed low and did not stay too long, that could change our summer temps which have already been up there since our ground moisture is down. We did not get the May rainfall we usually do.
     
  3. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    Love the name. Hurricane Bud


    Hurricane Bud.png
     
  4. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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  5. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    I do not think I have ever seen an Invest form in this area.


    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Jun 26 2018

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is likely to form along a
    stationary front near the coast of North Carolina on Wednesday.
    Thereafter, environmental conditions could support this system
    acquiring some tropical characteristics over the next few days as
    the system moves eastward or northeastward away from the United
    States.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


    Formation over N Carolina.png
     
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  6. WesL

    WesL Administrator
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    Times be a changin'. That is really interesting and weird all at the same time.
     
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  7. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
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    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml

     
  8. JayF

    JayF Technical Administrator
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    Invest 94l and 95l. Spaghetti Models go.


    94l and 95l.png
     
  9. Kory

    Kory Member

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    95L is struggling to close off due to strong easterly trades. These same easterly trades are the cause in the cooler than normal MDR.
     
  10. Mike S

    Mike S Administrator
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