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Severe WX April 11-14th, 2022 Severe Weather Threat

buckeye05

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NWS Wilmington has extended this tornado warning in N Kentucky multiple times and I’m not sure why, as I’m not seeing anything on CC or velocity indicative of a tornado, let alone a circulation.
 

bwalk

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BMX so far choosing to go with SVR over TOR warnings for previous tornadic cells crossing into Alabama from Miss.
Hopefully that’s a good sign.
 

Equus

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I really don't like the looks of the leading edge of this QLCS even north of the intense bow that should prob be tornado warned, damaging wind and a spinup tornado could drop at any time from this; grandmother has a broken wrist and really doesn't need to be have to scramble to the basement

Screenshot_20220413-215400.png
 

Equus

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The gust front has not outrun the deepest convection, so inflow is still surface based and tornadoes could spin up along the line at any time; the most unpleasant of the QLCS events. Will be carefully watching it
 

Jacob

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Wouldnt be surprised to see a tornado south of Berry in northern Tuscaloosa county. That storm has ramped up in the last few frames
 

Equus

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That will probably put down a significant spinup well south of Berry, very strong QLCS spinup signature
 

Jacob

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Fortunately no TDS so far with this storm, despite the pretty good velocity returns. I think they should probably extend this TOR into west Jefferson and extremely southern Walker counties. Circulation is a little broader than it was a few minutes ago, but it is still pretty strong and could put a solid tornado down at any time.
 
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Fortunately no TDS so far with this storm, despite the pretty good velocity returns. I think they should probably extend this TOR into west Jefferson and extremely southern Walker counties. Circulation is a little broader than it was a few minutes ago, but it is still pretty strong and could put a solid tornado down at any time.
I would warn as well, I’m pretty conservative, but it could spin up one really quickly
 

Equus

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Would still definitely assume it's capable of spitting out a significant tornado, still a very strong QLCS spinup signature; that big outflow surge on a QLCS tends to precede very bad things
 
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