atrainguy
Member
Some damage pics from Salado
Hales was a legend. I could always count on him for doom watches. Broyles will never compare lol.Agree hour away … new update. Broyles is the new hale. Forecaster who used work spc was aggressive
Some damage pics from Salado
As a storm monger. Hate say lol. He gave me hopeHales was a legend. I could always count on him for doom watches. Broyles will never compare lol.
For a while there, we had Jack at one end of the scale, and Greg Dial at the other (far more conservative end). It made for interesting forecasts.As a storm monger. Hate say lol. He gave me hope
I’m really hoping Roger Thompson does next update … love reading his texts . He prettyFor a while there, we had Jack at one end of the scale, and Greg Dial at the other (far more conservative end). It made for interesting forecasts.
Yeah, he is a really good forecaster.I’m really hoping Roger Thompson does next update … love reading his texts . He pretty
Much gospel from spc as u can get . I pay very close attention him lol
It's a bit hard to tell with the angle and dim lighting, but this pic kinda makes it look like maybe the tornado completely destroyed and perhaps swept away the back side of the building, leaving the front wall(s) still standing. Maybe the picture of the foundation that andyhb shared was from what used to be the back side of the building?andyhb posted that building from yesterday and I was thinking that was the church that was slabbed but apparently it was not.
Yes same here as well... he wrote the last MD so hopefully he does next update also.I’m really hoping Roger Thompson does next update … love reading his texts . He pretty
Much gospel from spc as u can get . I pay very close attention him lol
It's a bit hard to tell with the angle and dim lighting, but this pic kinda makes it look like maybe the tornado completely destroyed and perhaps swept away the back side of the building, leaving the front wall(s) still standing. Maybe the picture of the foundation that andyhb shared was from what used to be the back side of the building?
Yeah, unless we go back to supercells as depicted by 00z HRRR, I think HRRR and other CAMs have trended towards a really messy solution and may prevent that from being a high-end day, if I were betting I would bet on it not being a high-end day but we'll see.To me the only limiting factor from a High-Risk standard, significant outbreak is probably storm mode messiness. The parameter space is there, with significant instability and sufficient low-level shear. On lots of high-res model/CAM guidance, we do get initiation ahead of the line, but it is very messy and grows upscale. If we get more discrete or even semi discrete, I think we have big problems. However, HRRR has been quite consistent in the last 5-10 runs or so in *not* keeping a semi-discrete/discrete mode. Hopefully this stays the same.
Also cloud cover over Arkansas isn't helping this setup by any meansYeah, unless we go back to supercells as depicted by 00z HRRR, I think HRRR and other CAMs have trended towards a really messy solution and may prevent that from being a high-end day, if I were betting I would bet on it not being a high-end day but we'll see.
SE Arkansas, NE Louisiana, and western Mississippi look to be clear or clearing. That's the area I'm most concerned about. Even up into western Tennessee is pretty clear.Also cloud cover over Arkansas isn't helping this setup by any means
View attachment 13442
Good point. Here west tn clearing out nicely . Feel the cape buildingSE Arkansas, NE Louisiana, and western Mississippi look to be clear or clearing. That's the area I'm most concerned about. Even up into western Tennessee is pretty clear.
He was on the 1630z yesterday.Yes same here as well... he wrote the last MD so hopefully he does next update also.