tennessee storm chaser
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Am here now lol also
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April 2024 Weather Video of the Month Post your nominations now!
Severe WX April 11-14th, 2022 Severe Weather Threat
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Gail
Member
Clouds are beginning to take back over. It went from mostly sunny to partly cloudy in a hurry.
Flyboy70
Member
Kind of wishing I'd stayed back towards home myself. I just don't see anything able to get itself together yet.
Edited to add: I'm an impatient chaser...
Last edited:
CheeselandSkies
Member
Got on the Iowa storm of the day but missed the Gilmore City tornado by waiting at/on IA-3 just east of Humboldt for the storm to come to me (not wanting to get behind by having to go back through town due to anticipated fast storm speeds, and not wanting to tangle with the forward flank core due to high potential for large hail). If only it had had an additional classic tornado cycle or two during daylight, I would have been in great position for those, but alas. Still a fun (if exhausting, 12 hours straight on the roads after working 3AM-noon Tuesday) chase. It got a little hairy as I raced up I-35 to US-18 east at Mason City with the forward flank core encroaching on the highway to my north and the "business end" of the supercell (with recently reported tornado north of Belmond/west of Thornton) to my west. I got a lightning-lit glimpse of what appeared to be a large wall cloud with "beaver tail" extending toward the forward flank core.
I took 18 all the way home, with the supercell an increasing distance (10s of miles) to my northwest based on radar, but there still seemed to be lightning all around me. The Riceville tornado apparently occurred just after I got out of Charles City radio range, and by the time I got home shortly after 12:30 AM, the supercell was gone and all warnings on the MCS dropped.
I took 18 all the way home, with the supercell an increasing distance (10s of miles) to my northwest based on radar, but there still seemed to be lightning all around me. The Riceville tornado apparently occurred just after I got out of Charles City radio range, and by the time I got home shortly after 12:30 AM, the supercell was gone and all warnings on the MCS dropped.
cincywx
Member
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Warm sector thunderstorm development will continue to
increase through the afternoon/evening from Louisiana into
Mississippi, in advance of a cold front approaching the Sabine
River. The storm environment favors a mix of clusters and
supercells, with attendant threats for a couple of strong tornadoes,
damaging winds, and large hail through late evening.
MattPetrulli
Member
Last couple of HRRR runs have been trending a little more discrete-ish, specifically in MS. I think the best shot at strong tors will be with these, if any. QLCS Tors seem like the story for West TN and northward
xJownage
Member
I've been noticing this too, and it's evident in the convection that's already formed in LA.
Previous HRRR runs had this convection in N LA as already linear in nature. At this moment it's semi-discrete, even if not organized due to rather meager forcing in the region. These storms have around 3000 Cape and 200 0-1 SRH, with 50 kts of bulk shear, to work with at the moment. I can only imagine these storms intensifying over the next few hours, and should they maintain their current mode, semi-discrete would be back on the table.
Kim30
Member
What are the chances of the Enhanced and/or Moderate risk areas shifting eastward into more of N AL with time? If so, what areas?
The SPC has already done the afternoon update, and it doesn't get another update (which will be the final one for the event) until around 8:00 PM. The outlook areas very likely will not move from where they are. I honestly feel like we could get by with the Enhanced Risk over northwest Alabama and middle Tennessee being downgraded to Slight, but I understand why they are holding it in place. But this is not evolving in a way that looks like it will be a substantial threat in our area.
MattPetrulli
Member
Imo the main show would be if any of these guys can mature and space between each other, will be in favorable parameters for a decent amount of time before MCS cuts it off
Jetstream
Member
newbie...
bwalk
Member
TOR warnings starting to fire for this system as it crosses the River & into far West Tenn. I also notice several discrete cells forming out ahead of main line. Don't know if they can get going.
CheeselandSkies
Member
Appears to be an embedded supercell approaching Memphis proper and the NQA radar site.
bwalk
Member
And Memphis radar (TMEM) is not showing any data atm. Is it down?
TMEM is loading fine for me
bwalk
Member
West Tenn discreet cells have fallen apart. Anemic dewpoints in Tenn after you get past far West Tenn.
bwalk
Member
NWS (MEG) confirms:
At 339 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm producing a tornado was located
over West Memphis, moving east at 55 mph.
Edit: Did they mean: 'CAPABLE of producing a tornado' since I'm not showing it as 'reported'?
Kragg
Member
Both of the Severe Warned cells NW of Jackson MS are showing signs of broad rotation with the southern cell looking like it’s tightening up as the begin to enter the Mississippi radar hole.
