Severe WX May 2019 Plains Severe Event

[warneagle]

Didn’t take long for those to blow up and start rotating. I’m scared of what will happen when things finally initiate in SW OK.

 

[warneagle]

Tornado warning for Ellis/Roger Mills/Custer Cos. in OK. Of course it’s right in that radar hole. -_-

 

[SilentShadow87]

I know this a little off topic but can you get extremely intense rope EF5 tornadoes on a day like today? I know it would be more likely there going to be wedge EF5 tornadoes.

The 1947 Windsor, ON (which was probably an F5) was a rope for most of its life cycle. The 1990 Plainfield, IL was a rain-wrapped rope or elephant trunk. So there certainly is precedent for an F5/EF5 rope. That being said, it's extremely rare.

 

[bjdrivers]

Over 4000 joules/kg of CAPE in N TX

 

[TornadoFan]

Let's hope there won't be any EF-5's.

 

[Evan]

The thermal boundary along and north of I-40 in Oklahoma will be an area to pay close attention to. Supercells that form in this area or travel along the boundary will likely encounter atmospheric conditions that are extremely favorable to significant/violent tornadoes.

 

[xJownage]

Possible developing tornado on the dickens storm.

 

[warneagle]

That warned storm in western OK is moving right along the boundary.

 

[bjdrivers]

The 1947 Windsor, ON (which was probably an F5) was a rope for most of its life cycle. The 1990 Plainfield, IL was a rain-wrapped rope or elephant trunk. So there certainly is precedent for an F5/EF5 rope. That being said, it's extremely rare.

A lady I used to work with was in Joliet when that occurred, she saw it & said it was a stovepipe shape. It was never recorded nor photographed unfortunately.

 

[Equus]

Hooking showers already blowing up west of OKC

 

[Evan]

That warned storm in western OK is moving right along the boundary.

Yep. That one is about to provide some evidence of what the thermal boundary might be capable of today.

 

[Equus]

Rotating tiny developing storm moving right towards El Reno, severe warned with tor poss tag

 

[TornadoFan]

Funnel cloud reported by spotters on the Dickens storm.

 

[DaveFromGA]

 

[xJownage]

looks like they're doing a core punch right now. Not sure what their name is on spotternetwork.

 

[warneagle]

Those storms east of Lubbock are really just moving into the strongest area of ESRH so it wouldn’t be shocking if they really get to spinning here soon.

Those storms west of the OKC metro are concerning too. Supercell composite there is 28 and effective STP is 8.

 

[Evan]

Supercells trying to initiate all over Western OK. Not sure if it is capping or what, but something keeps preventing these storms from breaking through. But when they do...

 

[Evan]

Wanted to point out...recent HRRR runs didn't really show hell breaking loose in Oklahoma until closer to 5pm.

 

[bjdrivers]

Supercells trying to initiate all over Western OK. Not sure if it is capping or what, but something keeps preventing these storms from breaking through. But when they do...

yeah likely a capping inversion, this powder keg's getting set to go off!

 

[TornadoFan]

Wow, never seen a SIGTOR contour of 90 this big before.