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Severe Weather 2026

HRRR isn't as aggressive, but it's not a snoozer either, popping a few notable cells near Anniston in the evening.
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Sometime that should really be kept an eye on Clancy and it’s something that contributed to a major uptick in tornado potential in Alabama before. Is the rapidly deepening low. It’s been trending towards a rapid deepening and that tends to increase wind shear more favorably for the Deep South considering where the low is. January 12 2023 the day that produced the Kingston multi vortex ef3 tornado. The low pressure dropped a lot quicker if I remember correctly and backed the winds more turning the day into a deadly tornado outbreak. Not saying tommorw will be. But something that needs to be watched. Although my memory maybe a bit foggy on that event. But I do think from what I read that deeping low pressures back the winds more
 
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Newest day 2

SOME TORNADO RISK ALSO IS APPARENT, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
TRIPLE POINT, WHERE 0-1 KM SRH WILL BE MAXIMIZED. HOWEVER, THE
IMPACT OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION AND CLOUDINESS ON LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES/DESTABILIZATION LEADS TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENT OF MORE
ROBUST TORNADO POTENTIAL AS LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY MAY BE
INSUFFICIENT TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SMALL AREA OF ENHANCED
LOW-LEVEL SRH, PRECLUDING HIGHER TORNADO PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
 
Newest day 2

SOME TORNADO RISK ALSO IS APPARENT, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
TRIPLE POINT, WHERE 0-1 KM SRH WILL BE MAXIMIZED. HOWEVER, THE
IMPACT OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION AND CLOUDINESS ON LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES/DESTABILIZATION LEADS TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENT OF MORE
ROBUST TORNADO POTENTIAL AS LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY MAY BE
INSUFFICIENT TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SMALL AREA OF ENHANCED
LOW-LEVEL SRH, PRECLUDING HIGHER TORNADO PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
Upgrade to 5 or 10%?
 
McKinney said that tree debris was falling out of the sky on the St Aubert storm. Now tor warned.

(Note that any spin up was probably weak)
 
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