Severe WX Severe Weather Threat June 6-14

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Strong circulation White Pigeon, MI all of a sudden outside of town. Slightly shocked at no debris signature with it

This briefly was on the ground via someone on twitter who is very good at detecting TDSes. What a wild QLCS event.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Really long stretch but the indy radar may be picking up on some sort of debris in SW OH with that circulation near Palestin. A tornado may be in progress. Weak circulation still visible from Indy radar too.

 

[DanLarsen34]

Any damage reports from the Hebron/Kouts area tornadoes? That looked very significant.

The videos and images we’ve seen of the tornado suggested it was intense/violent, but maybe we got lucky with it not really impacting substantial structures like the March event (Wheatfield and Knox)?

 

[Jacob Aden]

Starting to get very concerned this setup lives up to it’s ceiling

I was unfortunately right

 

[Maxis_s]

Probably my favorite tornado of the outbreak in terms of looks

I was unfortunately right

I wouldn't say it hit the ceiling, but it got pretty darn close. Only thing that really holds me back from saying it hit the ceiling is the relatively narrow corridor the supercells occurred in, with a good chunk of 10% and 15% not getting anything other than the QLCS.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

All other factors aside, this is probably one of the best looking troughs we've seen all year. My prediction: I think this is going to be the biggest severe weather day of the year.

View attachment 53228

"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take"
-Wayne Gretzy
-Grand Poo

 

[Jbop]

 

[buckeye05]

I was admittedly skeptical about this setup. When I voice skepticism, bad stuff happens. You’d think I’d learn my lesson…

 

[Jacob Aden]

Probably my favorite tornado of the outbreak in terms of looks


I wouldn't say it hit the ceiling, but it got pretty darn close. Only thing that really holds me back from saying it hit the ceiling is the relatively narrow corridor the supercells occurred in, with a good chunk of 10% and 15% not getting anything other than the QLCS.

It was a hell of a QLCS. Last time I saw that many SIGTORS was 3/31

 

[andyhb]

Going to guess there was at least three dozen tornadoes today between the supercell tornadofest in central IL to NW IN, some of the other cells elsewhere, and the various QLCS tornadoes. Probably closer to 50.

 

[Jbop]

 

[buckeye05]

The white condensation being pulled off the houses by the inflow is crazy here.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

but they're better than Peachtree City in this regard at least... That office is genuinely horrific with any type of tornado.

This is silly. While I know reminiscing about FFC every other severe thread is a favorite past time, it gets old with these statements.

Have there been egregious misses from FFC in the past? Yes. Have there been egregious misses from other offices, even those up on lofty pedestals? Yep. Any miss is a failure IMO, so I’m not excusing it. Unfortunately, as long as humans are running radar ops, every office will have misses or occasionally delayed warnings with QLCS events despite one’s best effort.

I won’t lie, FFC had its fair share of issues 10-12 years ago. Leadership changes in the last decade have improved ops significantly. The retired on active duty peeps left in that same timeframe. A lot of additional staff turnover occurred before and through COVID. The current crop, while not perfect, are pretty sharp and forward thinking. The office is far from horrific. And maybe we’ll be able to fill some of the radar holes across N GA in the next year or two. That will significantly help those on radar ops.

I won’t clutter the thread anymore, but my DM’s are open if you want to continue the discussion.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

The videos coming out of this event reveal some spectacular tornadoes. incredible motion.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Maxis_s]

Big Greenfield vibes from that. Beautiful and horrifying

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Jbop]

 

[buckeye05]

This is silly. While I know reminiscing about FFC every other severe thread is a favorite past time, it gets old with these statements.

Have there been egregious misses from FFC in the past? Yes. Have there been egregious misses from other offices, even those up on lofty pedestals? Yep. Any miss is a failure IMO, so I’m not excusing it. Unfortunately, as long as humans are running radar ops, every office will have misses or occasionally delayed warnings with QLCS events despite one’s best effort.

I won’t lie, FFC had its fair share of issues 10-12 years ago. Leadership changes in the last decade have improved ops significantly. The retired on active duty peeps left in that same timeframe. A lot of additional staff turnover occurred before and through COVID. The current crop, while not perfect, are pretty sharp and forward thinking. The office is far from horrific. And maybe we’ll be able to fill some of the radar holes across N GA in the next year or two. That will significantly help those on radar ops.

I won’t clutter the thread anymore, but my DM’s are open if you want to continue the discussion.

My apologies. I wasn’t trying to cast the current situation at your at your WFO under a bad light. I haven’t noticed any pattern of issues in recent years, and was largely referring to the Easter 2020 outbreak incident, and what I remember hearing through the grapevine at that time. You guys overall do a pretty great job of warning and surveying based on what I’ve seen since then.

Also unrelated but speaking of DMs, I’ve been trying to gather some additional info on the North Georgia tornadoes from 4/27 2011 and I’d love to discuss them if you’re willing. Just let me know if that’s a possibility and I’ll message you.

 

[Kds86z]