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Severe WX Severe Weather 4/11 - 4/15

jackhutwx said:
i cant attach photos because my imgur is being slow, but its weird that rrfs has most if not all of the cells in northern illinois. ofc its rrfs, so i dont think thatll happen.
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It’s usually out to lunch, but I wouldn’t focus too much on the exact placement. More that all the CAMs are showing CI in that general area of Wisconsin/Illinois etc
 
What I really want to see is damage photos from the Mound City tornado from yesterday. From this article, it seems like it caused pretty bad damage but won't be fully rated as such due to poor construction quality (Mobile homes)
www.linncountyjournal.com

Tornado causes 'extensive' damage as it tears through southern Linn County

By Roger Sims, Journal staff [email protected] CITY – "The damage is extensive." That was the assessment of Linn County Sheriff James Akes in the wake of a tornado that ripped across southern Linn County on Monday evening.Akes in an interview Monday night said the tornado left a...
www.linncountyjournal.com www.linncountyjournal.com
 
buckeye05 said:
So I’m looking at damage photos from in and around Ottawa and Hillsdale, and my current guess is somewhere in the EF2 range, probably high-end EF2. I’d also say low-end EF3 is less likely but is still on the table.
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What's looking potentially EF3 to you? The image of the building* with most of its walls flattened seems like the best candidate to me, in the tweet posted earlier, but I haven't seen much outside of that post.

* EDIT: changed to building from home
 
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Ozonelayer said:
13z+14z HRRR has long tracked cells in Wisconsin AND Iowa. I am fully supportive of a tornado drivin MDT and it might even be extended a bit more east than originally thought.
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The UDH swaths are... not good, to say the least. That Kenosha area cell has remained consistently volatile over the past multiple runs.
 
jiharris0220 said:
The hrrr at 09z had no convection at all at 6pm in the IN/IL region, now the latest run is matching what the RRFS is showing. Might have to extend that 10% risk further south.
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i love it where im literally in-between 2 chances for tornadoes, and not getting anything lol. theres a system central illinois, and a system in southern wisconsin. there is still a chance for cells to fire; the environment is really potent for any storm.
 
US_Highway15 said:
This setup is certainly complex. HRRR shows supercells firing across Champaign IL, and moving eastward into central IN, and not northern IN/southern MI.

This next SPC update will be one of the most intriguing and in my opinion, the most anticipated one of the severe weather season thus far.
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im thinking just an upgrade (10%) for the il/in threat?
 
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