Severe Weather 2025

[Kds86z]

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Post from Convective Chronicles

Check out the classic three-body scatter spike on this hail-producing supercell in northern Kansas! Large hail has been reported with this storm!

youtube.com

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

First day of fall..

 

[N0mz]

00z gfs has an absolutely never ending omega block

 

[Kds86z]

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[AJS]

Oh wow!

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

Day 2 from Bentley: haven’t seen the words “strong tornadoes” in while.

 

[N0mz]

Definitely model watching tuesday night

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Day 2 from Bentley: haven’t seen the words “strong tornadoes” in while.

Bentley has great discussions but for good reason, sec season tis here, I have heard the troughs get way more nasty as time progresses

 

[Ozonelayer]

Day 2 from Bentley: haven’t seen the words “strong tornadoes” in while.

Looks like mother nature has finally woke up eh?

Anyway, as always, great discussion by Bentley. Conditional but potentially volitile environment could be in place. To be honest given the lack of weather recently, Im a bit excited to see how it will turn out.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Brice W]

And we’re back. Could definitely see a significant tornado occur with this. Would absolutely warrant a “5% tornado hatched zone” if there was one.

 

[Brice W]

A low-level inversion and saturated boundary layer under ~3 km may limit the number of storms that can establish strong updrafts, but to me the wind profile is favorable for supercells.

 

[N0mz]

Definitely #WaitAndSee at this point. Whatever happens today will greatly help resolve the forecast for tomorrow.