Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[lake.effect]

So, why would that one not drop a violent tornado? Just saying it now…to me, it has no reason not too. So if it doesn’t, I’ll be very confused.

It's been merging with other cells and re-organizing.
The sheer on the cell right now appears to be organizing and is very strong. Very high risk of a strong+ tornado

 

[OH-IOan]

Storm Chaser Warren Faidley is live in Grinnell right now, some very serious damage

 

[AJS]

That storm is aiming right for the Fort Worth radar site.

 

[Tennie]

So, why would that one not drop a violent tornado? Just saying it now…to me, it has no reason not too. So if it doesn’t, I’ll be very confused.

Supposedly, it's entering into an environment that should be more hostile to tornado development. We shall see how accurate that is, though...

 

[Bevo]

Also notable that in addition to the tornado, there's pretty huge hail tagged with this Texas storm (2"+).

 

[SmokeEater]

This is about to be a VERY expensive storm for the Metroplex... Baseballs reported along with the possible tornado.

 

[Maxis_s]

Supposedly, it's entering into an environment that should be more hostile to tornado development. We shall see how accurate that is, though...

The environment is moving with the storm. I wouldn't count on it.

 

[slenker]

Supposedly, it's entering into an environment that should be more hostile to tornado development. We shall see how accurate that is, though...

Even if it is entering a hostile environment, well-established supercells are capable of withstanding bad environments for a while. This was the case with the Greensburg cell in 2007 and the West Liberty cell from 2012.

 

[WhirlingWx]

Wow. I was gone for a bit, but I've just seen the Grinnell, KS pics. Very bad. I apologize for my misinformation earlier on the tornado dissipating prior to reaching town. Hopefully there were no serious injuries or worse from that tornado.

 

[TornadoFan]

Nebraska storm.

 

[OH-IOan]

Wow. I was gone for a bit, but I've just seen the Grinnell, KS pics. Very bad. I apologize for my misinformation earlier on the tornado dissipating prior to reaching town. Hopefully there were no serious injuries or worse from that tornado.

You're all good, it really did look like it had missed town on radar. Not exactly sure what happened.

 

[Maxis_s]

If this meso reorganizes and tightens up again we're in for trouble.

 

[SmokeEater]

Tornado is down on the TX storm, per WFAA. And in the same breath Pete Delfus says we don't want to interrupt American Idol and we're only coming on live TV during commercial breaks....

 

[Kds86z]

The more pictures that come out of Grinnell, the worse it looks.
View attachment 42352

That’s Brick, wow..

 

[Tennie]

Even if it is entering a hostile environment, well-established supercells are capable of withstanding bad environments for a while. This was the case with the Greensburg cell in 2007 and the West Liberty cell from 2012.

IIRC, the 2021 Quad-State Supercell (which produced the Mayfield tornado) also experienced something similar as well.

 

[jiharris0220]

VWP shows a lacking LLJ as expected and LLLR are piss poor, but there’s plenty of cape and streamwise vorticity is good.
(A critical angle of 63 degrees is equal to over 90% streamwise vorticity)

 

[Bevo]

My radar app says at the current speed, the Texas tornado will start to brush the southwestern edge of Ft. Worth in about an hour. If I were in Aledo, Benbrook, or Burleson I'd want to keep a good eye on this. Hell, I'm closer to Lewisville and I'm watching it like a hawk.

 

[TornadoFan]

Oh lord

 

[Jbop]

Per local DFW met

Steve McCauley​

3m ·
Although most storms in north Texas are moving to the NE, the one that is rotating the fastest (Level 18 out of 30) is a "right mover" and is moving more due east. This storm in SE Palo Pinto County will be moving into Parker and then Tarrant Counties over the next couple of hours. Radar continues to show a possible tornado just east of Santo, about 17 mi S of Mineral Wells moving E at 25 mph.
The atmosphere over the Metroplex is slightly less unstable than out west, but because the storm is so intense, it may be able to hold on to its severe status at least as it moves into the western half of the Metroplex before beginning a weakening trend.
So stay alert. This storm has had a history of producing hail up to the size of tennis balls and confirmed tornado touchdowns.

 

[rushdude]

Tornado watch got extended east, into DFW:
To quote Yukari from Persona 3:
"This thing won't give up!"