Winter Threat January 18-24 do ya wanna build a snowman??

[UncleJuJu98]

Shelby Co has moderate snow accumulation, Jefferson Co has little to no snow accumulation. So that's probably your dividing line with the WSWatch unless the models change. @UncleJuJu98 do you have the new NAM to share?

Its basically just a south Alabama snowstorm. Its not as far south as the globals though, unless this precip is expanded more north then we are gunna get much of northing in central Alabama lol.

Although the nam 3km is interesting.

 

[Ars4ua]

Is Montgomery to Phenix City considered Central AL ?

 

[aujerm]

Its basically just a south Alabama snowstorm. Its not as far south as the globals though, unless this precip is expanded more north then we are gunna get much of northing in central Alabama lol

The 00z NAM did trend back in the right direction. Let’s hope it continues.

 

[brianc33710]

The 00z NAM did trend back in the right direction. Let’s hope it continues.
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Well I assume it will give Jeff Co snow, not just Tuscaloosa, Shelby, Walker & St. Clair. This picture has the snow avoiding us like the plague. @Ars4ua South-Central AL.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Too many questions still unfortunately.

I feel like this could easily be a blockbuster storm for the entire state. Guess we have to wait for the HRRR and for this system to get closer lol

 

[The Colonel]

Trend is net positive so can’t really complain

 

[JPWX]

The Cold Weather Advisory should have remained a Wind Chill Advisory.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I'll keep hope with getting 2 inches based off the NBM lol

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Is Montgomery to Phenix City considered Central AL ?

Y'all would probably get a decent bit of snow there

 

[MichelleH]

The Cold Weather Advisory should have remained a Wind Chill Advisory.

Very much agree.

 

[MikeP]

I like where we stand here in central AL. This just feels right.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I like where we stand here in central AL. This just feels right.

I hope your right lol

 

[MikeP]

I hope your right lol

Lol, we'll see. I could be totally off. Just had good vibes last couple of days. How's that for scientific lol....

 

[Clancy]

*trash bucket emoji, crying in North Georgian*

 

[wx_guy]

The 0z GFS is coming in atm too EDIT: I think it's undergoing things...but who knows. We'll know more soon when the CAMs come into range.

 

[The Colonel]

Big Yikes on the GFS

 

[brianc33710]

Very much agree.

They renamed the advisories & warnings. @The Colonel What happened with the GFS?

 

[Blountwolf]

The 18Z GFS - un batido de clavos. Surface low headed to Cuba, pushed by the ULL following the shortwave. The upper low becomes more prominent, and the surface low becomes decoupled from the primary baroclinic zone, steering it southward.

 

[brianc33710]

The 18Z GFS - un batido de clavos. Surface low headed to Cuba, pushed by the ULL following the shortwave. The upper low becomes more prominent, and the surface low becomes decoupled from the primary baroclinic zone, steering it southward.
View attachment 33166

View attachment 33167

Worst case scenario for everyone, hopefully other models disagree. The NBM will drop fast after seeing this.

 

[MattW]

GFS is looking like an outlier right now. Euro (18z, 0z not in yet), SREF, NAM, GEM, all seem to keep the surface low a bit further north and not push it off to Cuba like the GFS shows.