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Winter Threat January 18-24 do ya wanna build a snowman??

12z Canadian Ensemble is more excited about 1 inch or greater of snow than GFS/Euro Ensembles.
 

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18z GFS, 12z Euro, and 12z Canadian Ensemble Output for total snow thru January 24th/25th timeframe.
 

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This makes me curious about how many winter seasons in the Birmingham region have seen two or more significant winter storms. The only one I personally recall is 2014, when we had Snowmageddon in January and a snowfall in February.

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But then I see on the NWS Birmingham site that we had two in 2011. Forgot about that and only remembered the January event (mostly sleet at my place):

1736941037716.png1736941060757.png
 
Operational models wise: a lot of gnashing of teeth between winter weather or nothing at all.
Ensemble model wise: more confidence in additional winter weather during the upcoming timeframe.
 
GFS ensemble is all over the place on timing for this one. I'm just not biting yet. Possibility is there, but no clarity yet at all.
 
Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook from BMX
 

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