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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Got some interesting tropical stats to post after the season ends. Will have to do the PowerPoints for the 2024 systems first for both Atlantic and Eastern Pacific.
 
Gonna go out on a limb and say the landfall location of Oscar is going to see damage significantly higher than one would expect with 70knot winds.

Thankfully hurricane force winds only went out 5 miles from the center. It is a tiny storm.
 
Punta Maisí Weather station in the far eastern tip of Cuba recorded a 64mph gust.

This was well outside the radius of maximum winds, which were barely 2 miles long, and of course wasn’t inside the HF wind radius.

Considering the exceptionally small size of this storm, this is quite a strong gust and would most certainly not be possible had a minimal hurricane of similar size made landfall.

Sar data, which uses a similar technique as sfmr but from satellite instead agrees with the rapid improvement of the storm and shows Oscar may have been a borderline cat3.
 
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The strangeness of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

June:
Broad CAG storm
A June MDR major (;), just your usual June major)
A shortie 18-hour storm

No storms formed in July, first time since 2016 (Hurricane Beryl and TS Chris crossed over into July from June)

August:
Casual early August Florida Big Bend region Cat 1 landfall
Cat 1 Bermuda landfall
Majorless August (last time was 2022)

September:
Cat 2 landfall in Louisana
A weak 4-day TS in the MDR
A Cat 4 into the Big Bend region of Florida
Casual high-latitude Cat 2
A 50-mph TS that is likely 60 mph
Casual late-Sept TS that became an October MDR major
No Recurving majors in September

October:
Another near Major in a Cat 2 in the MDR
A sudden outta nowhere Cat 5, sub-900 mb storm
A sudden TS into Belize
An unexpected Cat 1 (Possibly as strong as a borderline Cat 3) into Cuba

November:
Casual high-latitude climo-defying TS near Spain
Random November Gulf Major
Model forecasted major, In Real Life much weaker TS into Belize
 
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Oscar was noted as Invest 94L on October 10th. It has a track extending to a little inland over Africa on October 9th. So from October 9th to 19th (10 DAYS) Invest 94L was a disturbance before finally becoming TS Oscar on the 19th.

I think Oscar dethroned Jose from last year for the longest time spent as a disturbance that still became a TC.
 
Oscar is having himself a rough day off the Cuban/Hispaniola coast right now.
G16_sector_car_band13_24fr_20241022-1158.gif
 
Grouchy Oscar!
 
Stick a fork in him. He's done.


Oscar is the Chicken. (Oscar trying to run away from the shear (The fork))
 
Oscar bites the dust according to the recently released 1:20 pm update statement.Screenshot 2024-10-22 1.43.10 PM.png
 
Thanks to the MJO going into the favorable phases 8, 1, 2, and 3, we can expect another big ramp up in tropical activity.
 

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Thanks to the MJO going into the favorable phases 8, 1, 2, and 3, we can expect another big ramp up in tropical activity.
Well the first time we were in a favorable phase (Late June) we got Beryl, and then with the late-Sept to early-Oct we got Helene, Isaac, Kirk, Lesile and Milton. We do not need another 2-6 storms.

We only have 6 names left on the list.
 
Well the first time we were in a favorable phase (Late June) we got Beryl, and then with the late-Sept to early-Oct we got Helene, Isaac, Kirk, Lesile and Milton. We do not need another 2-6 storms.

We only have 6 names left on the list.
Actually we were in the favorable MJO phases from Beryl up until Ernesto dissipated the first time.
 
Actually we were in the favorable MJO phases from Beryl up until Ernesto dissipated the first time.
Yet we didn't get another major after our crazy June Cat 4 (July Cat 5).
 
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