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- #41
Kory
Member
What the NAM shows shouldn't disrupt WAA. Very scattered convection with no cold pool (I.E., not an organized complex). IF you take the NAM verbatim toward the end of the run, and extended it through Saturday night, it looks substantial. But that is the long range NAM which you should use with caution.12z nam is confirming what the GFS has been showing in regard to little if any coastal convection on Saturday...it does show some on Friday-if that is underdone, then there may not be much on Saturday, or there could be a longer recovery mode. Otherwise, anyone care to chime in on the risk of long tracked tornadoes later Saturday?