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Severe Weather Threat 4/25-4/26, 2024 - (Thursday, Friday)

  • Thread starter Thread starter Former Member 1430
  • Start date Start date
Third tornado north of the other two over Soldier, IA. This is the same storm that struck Bennington.
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lake.effect said:
I think it's time to re-think the SPC risk system. It's clearly broken.

Something needs to take forecast confidence into effect. So we don't end up with "conditional" Enhanced risks with multiple tornado emergencies.

Something like High Risk / Low Confidence or Moderate Risk / High Confidence. A dual rating system that captures both the potential ceiling of the event and confidence that it will occur.
Click to expand...
It certainly doesn't help when social media screams Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency when Moderate days don't lay down 50 EF4's
 

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Aforementioned OK cell.
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