Winter Weather 2025

[Taylor Campbell]

Parroting @Thanksgivingbrown comment earlier on maybe needing a thread.

I'm going to go ahead and make a thread if the 18z GFS is on board with a winter system.

There’s already a thread. I pinned it to the top.

Winter Threat January 18-24 do ya wanna build a snowman??

Any thoughts on this time period serving another round of wintry weather to the deep south?? I hope y'all let this post stay I've never got to start a post before.⛄❄️️

talkweather.com

 

[cyelle21]

Might need to get a thread started

I think someone already started a new thread.

 

[Blountwolf]

No idea where else to put this, but this has got to be one of the coolest looking upper level lows I have ever seen off the coast of California.

 

[MattW]

Well this just popped up on the GFS. Not a lot of ensemble support right now, but something to keep an eye on.

 

[JPWX]

Only thing I'll say is we're not done with winter weather events by a long shot and our severe weather threats will be limited to along the Gulf coast and Florida. It'll probably be after Spring break before we switch the pattern for more severe weather.

 

[Richardjacks]

that double closed low that the gfs has mid/ late next week....lol one is enough but two phasing? i suspect there will be a surprise or two for at least Texas..not necessarily winter stuff

 

[Tyler Penland]

Only thing I'll say is we're not done with winter weather events by a long shot and our severe weather threats will be limited to along the Gulf coast and Florida. It'll probably be after Spring break before we switch the pattern for more severe weather.

This has been a refreshing season so far. I've barely been above freezing for weeks now (only "warm" spell was a brief trip to 50 just ahead of this past system). 16" of powder on the season so I actually have a shot at "average" for the first time since probably 2018.

Low temp of 0.9º this morning to boot.

I should really hang out on this forum more often.

 

[JPWX]

This has been a refreshing season so far. I've barely been above freezing for weeks now (only "warm" spell was a brief trip to 50 just ahead of this past system). 16" of powder on the season so I actually have a shot at "average" for the first time since probably 2018.

Low temp of 0.9º this morning to boot.

I should really hang out on this forum more often.

TYLER! Good to have you back. To be honest, and I don't mean this to sound ugly, but I forgot about you being on here. LOL!

When I saw that notification, I was like OMG! It's Tyler!

 

[MMWX]

Ready for this cold weather to get out of here. I was not born for highs below freezing.

 

[MichelleH]

This has been a refreshing season so far. I've barely been above freezing for weeks now (only "warm" spell was a brief trip to 50 just ahead of this past system). 16" of powder on the season so I actually have a shot at "average" for the first time since probably 2018.

Low temp of 0.9º this morning to boot.

I should really hang out on this forum more often.

Yes, yes you should.

 

[Geno]

The cold hurts. Hundred+ old injuries just clamor for attention when cold or precip happen. I'm uncomfortable below 70 and miserable below 50.

 

[Havaheart66]

No idea where else to put this, but this has got to be one of the coolest looking upper level lows I have ever seen off the coast of California.
View attachment 33290

Looks like a hurricane

 

[cyelle21]

When's the next snowstorm? West central Alabama needs some snow now that the north and south has had measurable snow.

 

[KevinH]

Could we have a sequel on our hands in the south? Look at the date…

 

[JPWX]

I mentioned that in my Patreon post last night about early February winter threat potential.

 

[cyelle21]

Another threat? I have looked at the models and I don't see anything that screams SNOW, but west central Alabama definitely needs some snow.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Definitely not getting my hopes up this go around lol untill I see that white powdery stuff falling.

Just looking off of the GFS, it looks like a stout CAD event

 

[Blountwolf]

360 hours? Voodoo land.

 

[JPWX]

360 hours? Voodoo land.

I would say that if it was the GFS showing that. Euro though. I give that a little more credence. Not 100%, but just something to keep in mind.

 

[Fred Gossage]

If we are going to have another legitimate shot at a wintry weather system in these parts, I wouldn't give a lot of attention to things until after Feb 5th-7th or so, but it could potentially be just after that. NAO/AO looks to be heading back into negative territory around and after that time on the GFS ensembles and Euro ensembles, and the Euro weeklies like the idea of us heading back toward maybe some eastern troughing if not Gulf-type disturbances again after the 7th-8th of Feb. That general type of timing also makes sense with the cycle length of 6-weeks or a couple/few days short with the LRC cycle this 2024-2025 season. (No, I'm not fully sold on pulling excruciatingly exact specific details from that thing, but it does seem to be a reliable way of figuring out the timing of specific patterns/waves in the flow and how those cycle through the season... and the general geometry of those patterns. I think a lot of that reliability may be tied to being a way of tracking MJO propagation cycling into the longer term, but that's only an observation from the outside looking in. I'm not privy on all the details of how that system works specifically.)