• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We would love for you to become a part of our community.
    Take a moment to look around and join the discussion.
    CLICK HERE TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Tropical Depression Tropical Depression Marco (1 Viewer)


warneagle

Member
Messages
2,047
Location
Arlington, VA
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer
Title of this one will probably have to be changed to Marco in a few hours, but I figured I'd go ahead and get it started.

1597936533803.png
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,696
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Well, Marco has intensified nicely overnight. Partial eyeball observed by recon...and it's on the far eastern edge of guidance. I would think that would have larger implications with the ridge and weakness Laura will follow later. Models still don't have a good grasp.
 

Evan

Member
Messages
1,662
Location
McCalla, AL
Well, Marco has intensified nicely overnight. Partial eyeball observed by recon...and it's on the far eastern edge of guidance. I would think that would have larger implications with the ridge and weakness Laura will follow later. Models still don't have a good grasp.
On Cuban radar you can also see the eyewall forming.
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,696
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Closed eyewall on Marco. That means a whole new ballgame with regards to ridge strength. Everything is shift East on both storms. Louisiana is clearly the bullseye for both...right now.
 

warneagle

Member
Messages
2,047
Location
Arlington, VA
Special Affiliations
SKYWARN® Volunteer
The GFS brings both right into southern LA. Marco over New Orleans on Monday morning then a much stronger Laura further west on Thursday night. Not taking it literally at this range of course but obviously still a serious concern.
 

KoD

Moderator
Staff member
Moderator
2020 Supporter
PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
1,101
Location
Huntsville, AL
I think the shear is getting to the better of him, appears to be really struggling on the satellite imagery. HWRF and GFS agree on the weakening trend with the latest HWRF showing some minor reintensification prior to landfall but nothing major. I'd not completely disregard this system given the trend of things but I don't see much potential for a strength at/beyond cat 1 given the environment and forward speed.
That said, small tropical systems are less predicable and can intensify quite rapidly right?
 

bjdeming

Member
2020 Supporter
Messages
250
Location
Corvallis, Oregon
Weird track... What are they seeing?View attachment 4433
When weaker, Marco feels the westward flow more (not mine: my understanding of Levi's discussion at Tropical Tidbits yesterday). But Marco could strengthen again in the meantime and resist it. Tough for forecasters!

There's a comment in the current NHC discussion that it's not impossible that Marco may not make landfall. This seems unlikely, but I sure hate to think of even a weak storm just sitting off the coast.

If that does occur, Marco will be farther west, out of incoming Laura's path, right?
 

Blountwolf

Member
PerryW Project Supporter
Messages
179
Location
Blount Springs
When weaker, Marco feels the westward flow more (not mine: my understanding of Levi's discussion at Tropical Tidbits yesterday). But Marco could strengthen again in the meantime and resist it. Tough for forecasters!

There's a comment in the current NHC discussion that it's not impossible that Marco may not make landfall. This seems unlikely, but I sure hate to think of even a weak storm just sitting off the coast.

If that does occur, Marco will be farther west, out of incoming Laura's path, right?
Honestly, I'm questioning the west turn.
 

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Users: 0, Guests: 1)

Top