Tropical Depression Tropical Depression Cindy (1 Viewer)

Do you think Bret will develop?

  • Yes

    Votes: 11 84.6%
  • No

    Votes: 2 15.4%

  • Total voters
    13

Beer Belly

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Wow, no no idea where is it heading or how long it will take to get there. I imagine the models prediction of strength are also all over the board.
 

WesL

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Wow, no no idea where is it heading or how long it will take to get there. I imagine the models prediction of strength are also all over the board.
Welcome to TalkWeather @Beer Belly!!
 

Bama Ravens

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12z GFS doing crazy things with it:

IMG_0471.gif
 

Taylor Campbell

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A lot of the GFS ensembles show this going sub 1000mb.
 

Taylor Campbell

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It looks to really get its act together overnight, and tomorrow. Significant weather impacts to the coastal areas of LA, MS, AL, and FL start in about 24 hours or less.
 

WesL

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That is N817NA flying out in the Gulf at the moment. I've been on board that DC-8 when they were running the OLYMPEX project off the coast of the pacific northwest. Here are a few pictures. Basically this aircraft has ports on the top, bottom and sides where they can load instruments that fly on weather satellites for testing of new technologies and calibration purposes. They also had access to an ER-2 aka first cousin to U-2. I'll do a write up about it sometime soon.

https://pmm.nasa.gov/olympex


12240120_10156452742080144_7670219287142330473_n.jpg 12240136_10156452742265144_2326602609256060576_n.jpg 12241592_10156452741900144_4853336289443705360_n.jpg 12246955_10156452741760144_876743765000491443_n.jpg 12241235_10156452741640144_2716332926555146882_n.jpg 12241748_10156452741305144_2308864040916931465_n.jpg
 
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JayF

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That is N817NA flying out in the Gulf at the moment. I've been on board that DC-8 when they were running the OLYMPEX project off the coast of the pacific northwest. Here are a few pictures. Basically this aircraft has ports on the top, bottom and sides where they can load instruments that fly on weather satellites for testing of new technologies and calibration purposes. They also had access to an ER-2 aka first cousin to U-2. I'll do a write up about it sometime soon.

https://pmm.nasa.gov/olympex


View attachment 351 View attachment 352 View attachment 353 View attachment 354 View attachment 355 View attachment 356

Next time you get a tour like this and want to drag me along, I am game. :)
 

Brent

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Special Message from NHC Issued 19 Jun 2017 20:38 UTC
NHC will be initiating advisories at 4 PM CDT on Potential Tropical Cyclone Three, located over the southern Gulf of Mexico.
 

Daryl

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
400 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Intracoastal City,
Louisiana, to the Mouth of the Pearl River.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from west of Intracoastal City
to High Island, Texas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Pearl River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Intracoastal City to High Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
24.7 North, longitude 88.7 West. The system is moving toward the
north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is
expected tonight, followed by a slower motion toward the northwest
on Tuesday and Tuesday night. On the forecast track, the
disturbance will move toward the Louisiana coast on Tuesday and
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible before the system reaches
the coast.

Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for some
additional development of this system during the next day or two,
and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form during that
time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area on Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions
are possible in the watch area on Wednesday.

RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 10
inches over southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi and
Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle through Wednesday
evening.
 
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Beer Belly

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Is the center of circulation ~75 miles east of where they are indicating the center/lowest pressure? Monday 9:30 EST
 

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