Clancy
Member
Was a high-profile, High Risk day for AL, but we were on the edge of the risk, which had gotten trimmed down just before it hit.
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April 2024 Weather Video of the Month Post your nominations now!
Svr Wx threat April 1-April 2 2024
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
jiharris0220
Member
Cookville is the most recent freak example of a violent tornado happening in a very marginal threat day.
Never will that instance not be insane.
Never will that instance not be insane.
Shakespeare 2016
Member
I do wonder what it would take for the SPC to go with the dreaded 60% hatched area for violent tornadoes. I know it has happened once in 200ybut that was before the EF-SCALE started being used.
jiharris0220
Member
I’m not even sure that’s possible now, wonder why it even still exists as a risk level, if a April 2011 event didn’t warrant it, what will?
CheeselandSkies
Member
Winterset, IA 2022 (although that only really appeared marginal in the days leading up to it, SPC did introduce a 10% contour during one of the Day 1 updates prior to the event).
One thing I'm learning is how important lapse rates and 3CAPE are.
Frankly, I'm a little surprised they didn't use it on 4/27/11. Maybe simply the then relatively fresh (5 years) memory of the fact that the one time they had used it previously (4/7/2006) didn't really live up to being that bad (it was still a substantial outbreak, but would have been adequately covered by a "normal" high risk (30% hatched).
Clancy
Member
This storm over Perry Co. is getting better-defined.
kcyalater
Member
just went svr. nothing to choke it from the south so this one might be a little late night surprise.
Clancy
Member
Tornado possible tag on it so they're definitely watching it.
- Thread starter
- #1,129
KevinH
Member
Upgrade to TOR in 3….2….
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Just gonna throw this out there
Clancy
Member
Couplet intensifying, it may be about to drop.
SmokeEater
Member
And it's TW'd.
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Clancy
Member
Tornado Warning now.
SmokeEater
Member
BMX says rotation tightening aloft.
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Sent from my SM-S901U using Tapatalk
- Thread starter
- #1,135
KevinH
Member
Shakespeare 2016
Member
I know April 14, 2012 was very close as well. There was a 45% hatched area for violent tornadoes from S Central Kansas to like Central Nebraska. It didn't perform as well as others thought but it still was at least a high-end moderate risk or low-end high risk.
kcyalater
Member
she’s ramping up hard.
jiharris0220
Member
Well in the guy’s defense, he/she is probably no older than 12, lol.
Anyways looks like a tornado should form soon from the way this cell is looking.
- Thread starter
- #1,139
KevinH
Member
1st TOR in a couple hours and 1st TOR in Alabama for this event (I think??)
CheeselandSkies
Member
Throw it in the Dumpster and set it on fire.
