(Super) El Niño 2026-27

[Dryguy]

Thanks! Hope so!’ Just read latest. Forecast. Looks like heat wave coming is now stronger. Likely if there is a ring of fire storm track. It will be north of me. Oh well. Dust

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Dryguy]

So,,? Whatbdo this record Elnino mean for the Midwest? This coming week. Another heat wave for the Midwest. West is celebrating heat is moving east. Unfortunately rain along a stationary front once thought to be close. Is going to be shunted much farther north. Some say it lasts for two weeks. Worst heatwave of the Summer!!

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

I mean Ohios peak snowfall is like Jan/Feb aka not December so idc much but lets hope we don't get slaughtered in sec season we hella overdue for a gnarly sec season evnt anywhere in the midwest iirc

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

I see gotcha and we will see also gotcha

 

[Dryguy]

Great. I like it cold. Unusual warmth in December? Maybe At least the 80s will be gone here in Southeast Iowa. But the way it’s going. Ya never know

 

[slenker]

Given how winters typically perform during very strong El Niños, I’m fairly confident that the Midwest will get a very mild winter this year, perhaps more fall-like. The 1997-98 and 2015-16 winters were well above average in terms of temperature for the area. I’m interested to see if we get any severe weather out of it, assuming the winter does end up being very warm.

 

[Dryguy]

Bet warm plus Dry. Thought a wet fall was forecast by experts too. With hit dome sitting on us. Unlikely for September. Well maybe Minnesota and Wisconsin in the ring of fire. South of 80. Sounds like a bake for two weeks

 

[JPWX]

Yeah strong El Nino but far from the record breaking strongest ever Mega Godzilla type everyone and their cousin has been hyping about. CPC uses the CFSV2 bias corrected ENSO. The latest keeps it below 2.5

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Yeah strong El Nino but far from the record breaking strongest ever Mega Godzilla type everyone and their cousin has been hyping about. CPC uses the CFSV2 bias corrected ENSO. The latest keeps it below 2.5

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

Just now really ramping up , models are
Going be under doing this by bit … seen most
Models going around 3.2 above
By late December

 

[slenker]

Yeah strong El Nino but far from the record breaking strongest ever Mega Godzilla type everyone and their cousin has been hyping about. CPC uses the CFSV2 bias corrected ENSO. The latest keeps it below 2.5

It certainly seems to have plateau'd quite strongly, according to the Nino 3.4 temps graph that was posted earlier in the thread. I'd say this Nino is amongst the strongest in modern times already, but it likely won't reach the +2.8 C monster that 1877 likely reached. I'm guessing it'll remain comparable to the 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16 events by the end of it.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

It certainly seems to have plateau'd quite strongly, according to the Nino 3.4 temps graph that was posted earlier in the thread. I'd say this Nino is amongst the strongest in modern times already, but it likely won't reach the +2.8 C monster that 1877 likely reached. I'm guessing it'll remain comparable to the 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16 events by the end of it.

NOAA today currently toy posted it 2.7 already above on the 3.4 regions at least …. Going be interesting before it peaks Time will tell

 

[slenker]

NOAA today currently toy posted it 2.7 already above on the 3.4 regions at least …. Going be interesting before it peaks Time will tell

I’m pretty sure the average in the Nino 3.4 is floating around +2.19 C as of today, which is lower than it was a week ago by a solid amount - but it has been fluctuating and it did do this before its last big jump. I’m becoming more trusting of the models hitting the brakes on this thing in the coming months though, it can only go so far.

 

[Kds86z]