warneagle
Member
Flash flood emergency in New Orleans
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Tornadoes with chainsaws? I'm more concerned about the inevitable Lava Sharknadoes with laser sharks and nuclear bombs, but I don't know. I'm no expert.I joke with my son all the time who's a meteorology major - whenever we're under the gun for severe weather: "There's a hundred and twenty percent chance of violent, EF-50 Tornados with embedded running chainsaws within a 50 foot radius of any location in our hatched area."
And notably still keeping the 30# for Wind too.20Z outlook was downgraded to Enhanced with 10 hatch over a small portion of the Florida panhandle/far SE AL/far SW GA.
Definitely not getting any complaints from me! Glad that gnarly MCS was the worst we got today.Latest SPC update has removed the ENH risk and only kept a very small area near Tallahassee in SLGT. Looks like most of the threat has been washed out by the heavy rains stabilizing the atmosphere. Looks like the low-level lapse rates win again haha
We saw with the maps posted earlier how a wide variety of scenarios could have verified the outlook in a strictly probabilistic sense.I hate to call any event a bust, because even one tornado can change a person's life forever.
I also don't want to sound like I'm ripping on the SPC.
However, it feels like none of the events have really lived up to the hype (for lack of a better word). The SPC seems very bullish on issuing ENH and MDT risks this year compared to what actually plays out. Is this merely a coincidence?
Imo, it's more of a coincidence. If the conditions are present (even if they are conditional) then I think it's necessary to make people aware of the risk. Like others have said all it takes is one strong tornado which can be present even in MCS events like this.I hate to call any event a bust, because even one tornado can change a person's life forever.
I also don't want to sound like I'm ripping on the SPC.
However, it feels like none of the events have really lived up to the hype (for lack of a better word). The SPC seems very bullish on issuing ENH and MDT risks this year compared to what actually plays out. Is this merely a coincidence?