http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0098.html
Mesoscale Discussion 0098
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0814 PM CST Sat Jan 21 2017
Areas affected...Parts of southeast Louisiana into adjacent southern
Mississippi
Concerning...Tornado Watch 15...
Valid 220214Z - 220315Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 15 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe/tornado risk continues to gradually shift northeast
out of Tornado Watch 15 into adjacent watches.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows isolated strong/locally severe
storms moving east-northeast across parts of southeast Louisiana
mainly north of I-10/I-12, near and north of the slowly
northward-advancing warm front.
The evening LIX RAOB revealed a
very potent severe-storm environment -- both kinematically and
thermodynamically -- in the vicinity of the front, which continues
to spread northeast into parts of Mississippi and Alabama. Though
local risk may linger across WW 15 beyond the scheduled 22/03Z
expiration, expect the main severe/tornado potential to shift north
of the watch over the next couple of hours.