Severe Weather Threat May 7-10, 2024

[MoonBaby]

I’m in central Alabama and although I’m not in the major risk area, it’s extremely muggy here. Starting last night there was a definite atmosphere shift to the grossness.

 

[wx_guy]

Don't sleep on the initiation of storms in far SW Missouri either...CAPE surging to at or above 4.5k and low-level lapse rates going above 7 in that area, with over 200 SRH and a ripe environment for the day. Think Springfield and areas around will have to watch out in the next couple of hours.

 

[wx_guy]

Don't sleep on the initiation of storms in far SW Missouri either...CAPE surging to at or above 4.5k and low-level lapse rates going above 7 in that area, with over 200 SRH and a ripe environment for the day. Think Springfield and areas around will have to watch out in the next couple of hours.

View attachment 26794

The 2-hr forecast for the mesoanalysis shows southwest Missouri going over 5000 CAPE just as the storms reach that area. So I'm betting on something here.

 

[Maxis_s]

1630z outlook update is unusually late...

 

[CheeselandSkies]

1630z outlook update is unusually late...

Yeah. Even the CoD site doesn't have it yet (it usually pops up there faster than SPC's own site for some reason).

 

[Maxis_s]

Yeah. Even the CoD site doesn't have it yet (it usually pops up there faster than SPC's own site for some reason).

Must be waking up Broyles so he can get his pink sharpie ready for no reason

 

[TornadoFan17]

1630z outlook update is unusually late...

Was wondering if it was my internet. Glad to know they just haven't updated it.

 

[Maxis_s]

15 minutes late... What's going on?

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

15 minutes late... What's going on?

Some change suggest we fixing see

 

[wx_guy]

15 minutes late... What's going on?

Level 6 EXTREME Risk incoming

 

[cg9450]

Level 6 EXTREME Risk incoming

PESTILIENCE, ANARCHY, DESTRUCTION OUTLOOK





broyles/lyons/edwards

 

[TornadoFan17]

Level 6 EXTREME Risk incoming

They are doing a surprise switch from categorical risks to TORCON. All data provided by the weather channel.

 

[Maxis_s]

COD shows that it updated now, but the images and text haven't updated yet.

 

[Kds86z]

Tornado hatched been expanded southwest. No image yet

 

[atrainguy]

Level 6 EXTREME Risk incoming

Write up simply says "Screw it, nice knowin' ya."

 

[Maxis_s]

Surprised they didn't go with a 15% risk.

 

[Thanksgivingbrown]

Sun fully out in Huntsville, AL. Certainly has that feel to it outside

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 26795
Surprised they didn't go with a 15% risk.

Eh. Messy mode

 

[MichelleH]

Sun fully out in Huntsville, AL. Certainly has that feel to it outside

Yes, yes it does.

 

[jaymackd3]

N AL now in the 5%...must have higher confidence in the cells coming overnight