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Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024

Maxis_s

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One of the more perplexing events I've seen in awhile.

I've heard a number of theories posited, but none of them seem that convincing just yet. Potentially an amalgamation of more than one issue, as can be the case, but certainly not at all what I expected from today.

Barnsdall showed the potential out there, and I guess we always knew storm initiation to the south was a bit of a question mark, but now that we've got initiation it's just perplexing to have these results in this environment.

Shows how incredibly difficult forecasting it. I think a lot of people were ruined by the early 2010s outbreaks. This kind of frustration really reminds me of the pre-2011 types of events that seemed can't miss, and, then, missed for whatever reason.
Lapse rates. That's it.
 

Evan

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Yeah, not that this cell will do the same thing, but the Barnsdall storm went from looking "meh" to monstrous in just a scan or two.

I keep waiting for the supe northeast of OKC to do something similar over the course of a few scans. This environment absolutely supports such a thing so we're not remotely out of the woods yet.
 

Clancy

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SVRD issued for OKC.
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
1129 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Grady County in central Oklahoma...
Northwestern Cleveland County in central Oklahoma...
Southeastern Canadian County in central Oklahoma...
Northwestern McClain County in central Oklahoma...

* Until midnight CDT.

* At 1129 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Bridge
Creek, moving east at 50 mph.

THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR Bridge Creek, Newcastle, Norman,
and Moore.

HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect
considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles.
Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Southern Oklahoma City, Norman, Moore, Newcastle, Tuttle, Goldsby,
Bridge Creek, Stanley Draper Lake, and southwestern Lake
Thunderbird.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. This storm is producing widespread
wind damage across central Oklahoma. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a
sturdy structure and stay away from windows!

This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind
speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are
especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be
overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the
lowest floor of a building. This storm has the potential to cause
serious injury and significant property damage.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect for the warned area.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 9780 3535 9783 3538 9732 3538 9730
3519 9728
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 263DEG 43KT 3528 9769

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH

$$

Bunker
 

KoD

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There’s been 15 tornado reports today, it’s ok to call something what it is.
If you keep this up, I doubt you'll be on this forum for another hour. Save your thoughts for when the event is over.
That's enough back and forth. Muddling up the thread with counter arguments just degrades the quality of the discussion. No bust posts during an active event, folks are touchy about it. No harassing somebody for a vaguely displaced bust post. If a rule is broken report it and move along
 

andyhb

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The daytime portion of this event busted compared to expectations, no doubt about it. To say that about the nocturnal portion with what happened in NE OK would be egregious. There is nuance to this, and you are providing none of it.
 

Brice W

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If he keeps it up for another 45-60 minutes I’m sure you can report him and have a moderator discuss things with him. In the meantime. The Norman and Moore storm is definitely getting organized.
 

Brice W

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On bad storm doesn’t verify a high risk.
Dude let it go. If you have thoughts that people disagree and you aren’t willing to learn more about meteorology, then just chill. If the High risk verified or not, it’s still an extremely active severe weather period.
 
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