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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat: May 2-5, 2021 (1 Viewer)

WhirlingWx

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Mesoscale Discussion 0480
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0651 PM CDT Sun May 02 2021

Areas affected...Central Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 125...

Valid 022351Z - 030045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 125 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercells with a history of tornadoes will likely persist
through early evening where a corridor of greater tornado risk
appears likely this evening.

DISCUSSION...Several small supercells along and west of I-55 have
produced confirmed tornadoes over the last 90 minutes. KDGX analysis
shows several low-level mesocyclones with VROTs of 40-50 kts and a
considerable TDS near Yazoo City, MS. SPC mesoanalysis and regional
VWPS show strong veering wind profiles with 200-300 m2/s2 ESRH ahead
of the ongoing storms to near the warm front across north-central
Mississippi. A corridor of greater tornado potential is likely
evolving. The potential exists for several additional tornadoes,
(possibly significant) to develop and track northeastward to the
warm front over the next 1 to 3 hours.

..Lyons.. 05/02/2021
____________

Metro Jackson also starting to get in on one of the recent warnings
 

Equus

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I note SPC mentions significant tornadoes in that discussion; may have had one already with Yazoo City and so many more popping up with potential
 

WhirlingWx

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Yup, but not sure how long the threat persists after 01z for them to make any increase in tornado probs in an outlook... unless they issued a special one, which is probably not their main worry right now as they have to keep nowcasting and coordinating with WFOs, I would imagine...
 

barcncpt44

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A tornado and a sunset.
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