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Severe Weather Threat January 8-10, 2026

Waiting for this thing to move out of The Hole™ so I can actually see what's happening on this storm. I have to imagine that meso is probably sitting well off the ground to look this strong for this long without having any confirmed tornadoes. At the same time, a lot of the communities around here are small, so any brief touchdowns could easily be missed.
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Forecast sounding from Anniston, Alabama off the 00Z RAP, valid at 3 AM CST Saturday morning. Skinny CAPE in this particular location but the wind fields are quite something. Definitely keep those weather radios turned on tonight in Alabama and western Georgia if you live along or south of I-20. I have a feeling that the late-night LLJ will unfortunately work its magic in a few places overnight into the morning.
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Clancy said:
Forecast sounding from Anniston, Alabama off the 00Z RAP, valid at 3 AM CST Saturday morning. Skinny CAPE in this particular location but the wind fields are quite something. Definitely keep those weather radios turned on tonight in Alabama and western Georgia if you live along or south of I-20. I have a feeling that the late-night LLJ will unfortunately work its magic in a few places overnight into the morning.
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Supercell development?
 
Hmmmm...

DGX_0306.pngDGX_0313.png

It's on the historically troublesome just north of Tallulah path, too...although at least this time it's got enough of an easterly component that it shouldn't threaten Yazoo City or Rolling Fork.
 
Got my eye on that storm too. Still got rotation (though weak) with it
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 2 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN AND
CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND A TORNADO OR TWO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST LA,
WITH A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS FAR EASTERN TX. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS
ACROSS NORTHERN LA AND INTO CENTRAL MS, WITH A VERY MOIST AIR MASS
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN LA AND SOUTHEAST TX, AND THIS AIR MASS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTH.

CURRENTLY, THE STRONGEST CELLS ARE ALONG OR EVEN BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT IN TX, ALTHOUGH ISOLATED CELLS ALSO EXIST ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE WARM FRONT. RECENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS SUGGEST THE ACTIVITY
APPROACHING THE SABINE VALLEY MAY BECOME A BIT BETTER ORGANIZED OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS COOLING ALOFT GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST. IN
ADDITION, SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THIS LINE AND SECONDARY
PRESSURE FALL TIME AFTER 09Z MAY YIELD A INCREASED CHANCE OF
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ACROSS LA/MS WELL AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ANY
ISOLATED CELLS WILL HAVE TORNADO POTENTIAL AS 0-1 SRH REMAINS IN
EXCESS OF 100 TO 150 M2/S2.

..JEWELL.. 01/10/2026


 
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