New MD addresses this.They must not think this second round will do anything for central Alabama with no watch
ACUS11 KWNS 040145
SPC MCD 040145
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0029
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CST TUE JAN 03 2023
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL GULF STATES
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 040145Z - 040315Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED AS THE
EVENING PROGRESSES, WITH IT A RISK OF WIND AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO. A NEW WATCH MAY BE WARRANTED.
DISCUSSION...BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
RESPOND ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH OVER TEXAS. LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BECOME A BIT MORE
CONVERGENT WHICH SHOULD ENCOURAGE ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
AND PERHAPS MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS. OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO, A FAIR
NUMBER OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MATURED FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL LA INTO
EAST-CENTRAL MS. SEVERAL SUPERCELLS ARE OBSERVED ALONG THIS CORRIDOR
AND AN UPWARD TICK IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY MAY BE NOTED AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES. OVERALL, SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
BECOME MORE NOTEWORTHY PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. A NEW WATCH MAY BE
WARRANTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS RISK.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
LAT...LON 33368894 34458732 33108640 31688832 33368894
Per the SPC site, watch No. 10 is in fact a severe thunderstorm watch.RadarScope is having issues. Has current Tornado Watch #10 as a Severe Thunderstorm Watch on the Windows app but then on the Phone app it has it as a Tornado Watch.
Well there isn’t any helictites right now lol. I’m almost home to Gardendale, just north of bham, watching them there and if they get out of hand I’ll be back out1km helicity will be a lot higher tonight than it has been during the day today, values reaching 300+ in central Alabama. Values today have been ranging around 150 if that.
Cape is around 100-1800 with pretty good shear makes a sneaky night time event.