Severe WX Severe Weather Threat Jan 18-20th, 2023

[TornadoFan]

Off topic, but big wedge tornado ongoing in Iowa.

 

[JPWX]

Off topic, but big wedge tornado ongoing in Iowa.

Iowa doing Iowa things

 

[warneagle]

I O W A I N G

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I O W A I N G

One of the weakest rotations I've ever seen lol, must be running off the extreme low level instability

 

[warneagle]

I mean yeah it looks terrible now but that was over half an hour ago, I don't think it's producing anymore, which is good since it's going right through the suburbs of Cedar Rapids.

 

[Timhsv]

South of the warm front in the green box looks to be a pretty volatile area near your triple point. Good height falls backed surface winds. Looks like it may start out discreet and grow linear.

Also the blue is supposed to be the cold front but it's further west and I already saved the picture haha. So disregard that. View attachment 16911

Soundings are from the last two nam runs in that box. View attachment 16912View attachment 16913

I hate to admit this, But, I'm having the hardest time trying to create a forecasting sounding from the Nexlab model date? How is it performed please?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

I hate to admit this, But, I'm having the hardest time trying to create a forecasting sounding from the Nexlab model date? How is it performed please?

I think you hold down on the screen if your using your phone, it used to be where it just had to be tapped but I think you have to hold on the location.

 

[Timhsv]

I think you hold down on the screen if your using your phone, it used to be where it just had to be tapped but I think you have to hold on the location.

OK, but I'm using a desktop and I still see nothing that indicates a sounding even when I left click inside a NAM model image? I'm not sure where I'm lost at?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

it's been a While since ive used desktop for it, anybody else know?

 

[Timhsv]

it's been a While since ive used desktop for it, anybody else know?

I used the legacy site and got them! Thanks for your help thou!

 

[ashtonlemleywx]

This setup has that "System before the system" feel about it. I think its setting the stage for something bigger later next week.

 

[KevinH]

This setup has that "System before the system" feel about it. I think its setting the stage for something bigger later next week.

And that has happened before too SMH

 

[JBishopwx]

Wednesday:

 

[JPWX]

Wednesday:
View attachment 16946

No surprise there.

 

[ashtonlemleywx]

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Seems like 12z runs are lagging behind on release schedule today.

 

[ashtonlemleywx]

Right now I have my target as Lula, MS/West Helena, AR tmrw. Logistically a good location because of river bridge and can easily drop South from that location if needed.

 

[KevinH]

It doesn’t seem like the ceiling is as high as it once was….

 

[UncleJuJu98]

It doesn’t seem like the ceiling is as high as it once was….

Nope! Thankfully

 

[KevinH]

Nope! Thankfully

*stops watching thread* lol

Jk