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Severe Weather Threat 5/19-5/22/2024

Damage in Greenfield is extreme. Hard to say anything else than "slam dunk EF4+" looking at the aftermath photos/videos. There is nothing left standing in the path of that thing.

Worst tornado damage I've seen in Iowa since Parkersburg.
 
Another Dane County warning, though I'm still out of the polygon, but am moving to the basement. It looks like this line is just going to spin as it moves into the area. The cats will hate me, but so it goes.

Please stay safe out there!
 
If it is rated EF3+, it will record the fastest ground speed ever by a violent tornado, overtaking the 1925 Tri-State tornado.
There were tornado reports from the 1974 outbreak in AL moving much faster than that, supposedly because the thunderstorms grew so tall they actually caught the jet stream flow (85ftk+). One in NW AL supposedly moved at 113 mph. Hurricane Laura generated tornadoes moving 85 mph too. And I think 27 Apr 11 had 90 mph tornadoes.
 
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There were tornado reports from the 1974 outbreak in AL moving much faster than that, supposedly because the thunderstorms grew so tall they actually caught the jet stream flow (85ftk+). One in NW AL supposedly moved at 113 mph.
Source for the 113 mph? I have a list of average speeds that I copied from table that Fujita made (ironically I now can't find the original) and IIRC none were that fast.

Of course we don't have good measurements for maximum speeds. Some old photogrammetry shows quite dramatic variations in a short tine.
 
Source for the 113 mph? I have a list of average speeds that I copied from table that Fujita made (ironically I now can't find the original) and IIRC none were that fast.

Of course we don't have good measurements for maximum speeds. Some old photogrammetry shows quite dramatic variations in a short tine.
Look on the ABC 3340 Weather Blog & go back to 03-04 Apr, Bill Murray. This was during the 50 anny Superoutbreak discussion. The warning actually stated 120 mph but the tornado actually moved 113.
 
New warning for a large portion of Dane county, including me! Glad I came down earlier.
Looks like they've opted to issue a blanket warning for that line.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
718 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Northeastern Iowa County in south central Wisconsin...
South central Columbia County in south central Wisconsin...
Western Dane County in south central Wisconsin...
Southeastern Sauk County in south central Wisconsin...

* Until 800 PM CDT.

* At 717 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes
were located along a line extending from near Mazomanie to near
Black Earth to near Blanchardville, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Madison, Sun Prairie, Fitchburg, Middleton, Waunakee, Verona,
McFarland, Monona, Mount Horeb, Windsor, Prairie Du Sac, Sauk City,
Lake Wisconsin, Deforest, Cross Plains, Lodi, Poynette, Mazomanie,
Shorewood Hills, and Black Earth.

Other landmarks included are the following Locations Wisconsin State
Capitol and Gibraltar Rock Natural Area County Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4302 8986 4320 8991 4347 8938 4340 8930
4301 8924 4285 8985
TIME...MOT...LOC 0017Z 224DEG 43KT 4321 8988 4309 8977 4282 8975

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN
 
I would like to say EF5 but I see a lack of context and the anchor bolting looks somewhat questionable. 185 OR 190 MPH is what I would say.
Don't forget it would need to be built  above a standard of construction that apparently is almost never seen anyway.

Because some of the people involved in making the EF scale believed houses shouldn't be EF5 and this unscientific personal whim is apparently more authoritative that Fujita's prescription of a six step scale to be used with houses.
 
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