Severe Weather Threat 4/28-4/30

[ColdFront]

Story of the year

Shocking (sarcasm). Didn’t think we’d close the month out like this after an insane March and early April.

 

[Schoeppeya]

Given the easterly surface wind direction the storms could still produce even with tight clustering as the inflow regions should be avoiding the outflow of the storms to the south.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Schoeppeya]

Looks like unwarned tor south of post

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[UncleJuJu98]

View attachment 40692

There's a Mesoscale discussion on those supercells now.

 

[Jbop]

Shocking (sarcasm). Didn’t think we’d close the month out like this after an insane March and early April.

After hearing all this would it be better for the SPC to forecast based off possible failure modes or something else. I see this discussion often, but wonder if the discussion leads to something productive.

I'm also guessing the SPC has a specific protocols compared to *arm-chaired weather enthusiast" who if running the SPC would do it differently?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Supercell southwest of Girard Texas should be watched

 

[ColdFront]

After hearing all this would it be better for the SPC to forecast based off possible failure modes or something else. I see this discussion often, but wonder if the discussion leads to something productive.

I'm also guessing the SPC has a specific protocols compared to *arm-chaired weather enthusiast" who if running the SPC would do it differently?

Oh that wasn’t a shot at the SPC. They’ve been phenomenal this year. You’re going to have a bu$t every once in a while, it’s just a given.

I was more saying the atmosphere hasn’t cooperated lately for tornados lol

 

[Kds86z]

Oh that wasn’t a shot at the SPC. They’ve been phenomenal this year. You’re going to have a bu$t every once in a while, it’s just a given.

I was more saying the atmosphere hasn’t cooperated lately for tornados lol

Yes SPC has been great, but what is happening to outlooks being copied and pasted more. Lol. I always read every day 1 so I can tell you it’s a recent thing. Ok I’m done

 

[tornado examiner]

So anyone else see that violently rotating meso in Texas?

 

[kcyalater]

So anyone else see that violently rotating meso in Texas?

it’s very spinny

 

[Aaron Rider]

Reports from yesterday which says it all. Just an absolutely epic bu$t lol

View attachment 40673

Ryan Leaf or Johnny Manziel level Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency

 

[andyhb]

That bow echo in Pennsylvania is nasty as hell. Already has produced widespread damage across the Pittsburgh metro and then the counties to the east. Now approaching State College.

 

[Jbop]

Should this thread also include 4/30. There has been some mentions of a possible upgrade

 

[Aaron Rider]

That bow echo in Pennsylvania is nasty as hell. Already has produced widespread damage across the Pittsburgh metro and then the counties to the east. Now approaching State College.

Yeah. Should be here in my neck of the woods in two or so hours. Thanks for the heads up.

 

[warneagle]

Unfortunately I don't think we're gonna get any rain out of it this far south, which is a shame because we kind of need it.

 

[Kds86z]

Shocking (sarcasm). Didn’t think we’d close the month out like this after an insane March and early April.

For real