lot to do how the trough gets ejected out... if 12z euro verifies... going be pretty expanded area effected... from eastern ok , east texas , northern la. midsouth to portions tn valley... i know that a pretty fairly large area... but all need to watch this as week plays out next weekSo is this looking like a threat for Eastearn AR and points westward or does this look to be expanding eastward also?
Ok hard for me to say this but given my data for TNI has to be adjusted I am not surprised this is coming to fruition. I estimated the TNI for the last couple of months and it spiked. Making the dates change for an event of this nature. I will be curious of how this pans out but I suspect that after I actually put in the correct data that my charts will change and the date will make more sense. If there is indeed a correlation in my data then this will be the event I anticipated which is why I have been so adamant with other events. I had the same feeling Richard about this feeling like 4/27/11. I will update my information in the A.M. This looks bad no doubt. How Far East will it expand? Well given it would be May 1st history suggests that the SE would most likely be spared. I am not so sure that will be the casefor a moment I thought I was reading the old 4/27/2011 thread
While it's basically impossible to predict exact boundaries this far out, even for the most experienced meteorologists, my personal guesstimate is that there will be something of a threat in western AR, especially on Friday, but that threat will probably drop away pretty quickly east of the Arkansas River.So is this looking like a threat for Eastearn AR and points westward or does this look to be expanding eastward also?