Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 4/2/17-4/3/17

[Kory]

I suspect something may be wonky with the LL wind profile. These storms are just not spinning much.

VADs look impressive in SE TX and West LA. Watch the confluence band in East TX....

 

[SilentShadow87]

I am not buying a high risk either. Tomorrow looks clustered and messy as well. Really eyeballing Wednesday tho!

Yeah I think an enhanced or moderate risk would have been a better bet. Wednesday on the other hand is already looking like a potential moderate/possibly high risk day.

 

[Tyler Penland]

Moderate tomorrow. Pretty large hatched area.

 

[Kory]

I just don't get it anymore...

 

[Bama Ravens]

Convection seems way too cluttered right now for there to be discrete supercells that can produce long track, violent tornadoes. I guess we will see.

 

[Richardjacks]

my overall feeling is that there is a threat that far north but much more limited...maybe I am missing something.

Sent from my SM-N920V using TalkWeather mobile app

 

[seasonsofweather]

Heres a live coverage link near Shreveport LA. Don't think they're live at the moment though: http://www.ktbs.com/story/35050309/arklatex-experiencing-another-round-of-severe-weather

 

[buckeye05]

VADs look impressive in SE TX and West LA. Watch the confluence band in East TX....

I'm watching but they seem to be really struggling. Something is definitely missing here.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

As of right now, I really like the new day 2. Lines up with my thoughts of a more focused threat from Southern AL to the Upstate of SC. Timing will be the big issue. A faster solution will kill the threat on its western edges...perhaps further East as well.

I should add that I think the western edge on the Enhanced/Moderate will be trimmed in time. Best chances along I-85 in Alabama. The Georgia/SC end looks good.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Storm along I-20 in NE LA looks like it might be interesting, but impossible to tell what's going on below 12,000 feet. I've always wondered why KPOE and KLCH are so close to each other, leaving great radar coverage in SW LA but horrible in the no-man's land between SHV, DGX and LZK.

*New tornado warning SW of Shreveport

 

[xJownage]

Storm along I-20 in NE LA looks like it might be interesting, but impossible to tell what's going on below 12,000 feet. I've always wondered why KPOE and KLCH are so close to each other, leaving great radar coverage in SW LA but horrible in the no-man's land between SHV, DGX and LZK.

*New tornado warning SW of Shreveport

kind of irrelevant when kpoe is down anyways. oh joy...

 

[Kory]

Watch out Alexandria, LA....

 

[WesL]

Here is KSLA live -

 

[WesL]

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[Equus]

Velocity isn't especially intense yet, but what a reflectivity signature. Might be the first really impressive storm of the day.

 

[GTWXAlum]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0110.html

New PDS tornado watch for Louisiana, far E Texas, and far W Mississippi

95/95 probs

 

[TWBot]

WW 110 TORNADO LA MS TX 021835Z - 030200Z

​

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 110
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 PM CDT Sun Apr 2 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Northern Louisiana
West-central Mississippi
East Texas

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until
900 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* Primary threats include...
Numerous tornadoes and several intense tornadoes expected
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...A dangerous combination of parameters suggests that
tornadoes will occur over parts of east TX, northern and central LA,
and eastern MS this afternoon and evening. Strong tornadoes are a
concern.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 85 miles west of Fort Polk LA to 65
miles northeast of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 109...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.

...Hart


Read more

Continue reading...

 

[Equus]

Terrifyingly high probabilities, that. Very strong wording today. If storms keep firing like the one near Alexandria, I'm not going to doubt the decision to go high risk. Might have more significant tornadoes than the last high risk day, at least.

 

[Bama Ravens]

High risk, tornadoes on the ground, and The Weather Channel has a show about supernatural events on right now.

 

[xJownage]

High risk, tornadoes on the ground, and The Weather Channel has a show about supernatural events on right now.

classic TWC.

Even with the alexandria cell, I'm still not seeing any of those cells to the south maturing enough. The Alexandria cell was more isolated for a bit before it really went tornadic, and it was sort of easy to see coming; of course the one semi-isolated cell in this environment is going to become a really dominant supercell.

It looks like a decently strong tornado, but it's hard to tell with KPOE down. Anybody have a stream or know of a chaser who's on the storm?