Recent HRRR runs have decreased the northward extent of instability (this was expected) and have continued to, unfortunately, depict a maximized threat in the vicinity of Rolling Fork, MS. Any storms that develop, especially discretely or within a QLCS, could pose a strong tornado threat. More than enough CAPE, including >100 3CAPE and very strong kinematic profiles, better than what some of the HRRR runs were showing yesterday. Sounding from AR/LA/MS triple-point. Looks like there will be a pretty hard choke point for convection around/east of the AL/MS border. Would watch for boundary-riders in northern MS.



