I have looked over everything and I basically agree, not sure about long-track/strong tornadoes though. I don't think storms to our south will be a huge limiting factor-but I am wondering about the leftovers of the squall line, also I could see the storms making very slow progress into Alabama during the late afternoon, if this is true, highest risk would be well west of I65.Ok concerning tomorrow's threat here are my current thoughts.. Granted small scale issues could completely bust this but here is why I am seeing a major tornado outbreak for tomorrow. The NAM is showing zero convection on the gulf coast which is makes me feel confident that the flow won't be cut off. The NAM is pretty reliable as well. I also expect to see the risk area expanded and/or increased! My areas of primary concern are Ne MS, Nw AL, and all of middle TN! I am expecting a few long track intense tornadoes as well. I believe this is the storm that my data was pointing to months ago. Time will tell but it fits my March 23rd-April 3rd time line. We will see I expect quite a show!
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