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Was not entirely convinced that today would meet expectations, but you can't ignore the ingredients on the table. Regardless of the trough orientation and potential forcing issues, the afternoon/evening looks poised to be active.
Storm season in 2026: Random (potentially) violent tornadoes by themselves in Oklahoma on the day before a bigger event for the Plains, and said event's first tornado of the day happens in southern Michigan. This is certainly one of the goofiest enhanced risks of all time.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION, WITH THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND A TORNADO
RISK.
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