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Severe Weather 3/15 - 3/16

KevinH said:
OK, now watch Dixie Alley spin around and flip you the bird just to surprise you LOL

I know you are in Texas, but in Dixie Alley, we understand that the models are not always 100% correct. Even if they ARE all in agreement, Dixie Alley has thrown us for loops before. Nothing is 100% guarenteed here until it actually happens.

It is too early to be THIS confident. Dixie does not follow the "rules" and does not give a flying flip what the models say. Dixie does what it wants, when it wants, with what it has...

At least wait until the MD or WW comes out for the remaining area (SE AL) with the highest risk before we start this kind of talk... just CHILL for a little bit LOL
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Not quite sure what you’re talking about, also not sure what my location has anything to do with this.

But I don’t want to derail this thread so any qualms you have you’re free to leave me a direct message.
 
Looks like a very classic wind event for now. Wouldn't be at all surprised to see an uptick in tornadic activity again over Eastern Alabama into Georgia later. Looks like I'll have enough time for a few hours' sleep, so I'm going to try and take advantage.
 
KevinH said:
OK, now watch Dixie Alley spin around and flip you the bird just to surprise you LOL

I know you are in Texas, but in Dixie Alley, we understand that the models are not always 100% correct. Even if they ARE all in agreement, Dixie Alley has thrown us for loops before. Nothing is 100% guarenteed here until it actually happens.

It is too early to be THIS confident. Dixie does not follow the "rules" and does not give a flying flip what the models say. Dixie does what it wants, when it wants, with what it has...

At least wait until the MD or WW comes out for the remaining area (SE AL) with the highest risk before we start this kind of talk... just CHILL for a little bit LOL
Click to expand...
Just have to say this real quick...

Models are doing better than ever. The HRRR specifically impresses me more and more every event and did a great job tonight. Throwing out model output and realtime analysis simply because "it's Dixie! Anything can happen!" is idiotic. Dixie follows the "rules." Because weather is science, not whatever mythical psuedoscience you believe about Dixie alley.

You can argue validity of statements and interpretations, but when your defense is "well its Dixie..." then you aren't contributing anything meaningful.
 
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Clancy said:
Looks like a very classic wind event for now. Wouldn't be at all surprised to see an uptick in tornadic activity again over Eastern Alabama into Georgia later. Looks like I'll have enough time for a few hours' sleep, so I'm going to try and take advantage.
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Please leave GA out of this man. I am in the bed. Probably wake up at 4a or 5a EST for ATL.
 
ref1km_ptype.us_se.png

Am I correct that this appears to be a decent amount of "junk" ahead of the front as it enters GA? SigTOR and supercell composite seem to correlate with minimal findings as well. Should steal some of the main systems thunder, correct?
 
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