• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Severe Weather 2026

Feels like the GFS has been insistent on a quality, broad/amplified (but not too amplified), negatively-tilted trough eventually digging into the West and ejecting across the central CONUS for about the last six weeks, but it always gets pushed further out in time and never actually verifies. 06Z run that just came in has it at about FH354.

Do we eventually bump into the "stopped clock" paradox, or just keep kicking the can down the road until next spring?
 
Feels like the GFS has been insistent on a quality, broad/amplified (but not too amplified), negatively-tilted trough eventually digging into the West and ejecting across the central CONUS for about the last six weeks, but it always gets pushed further out in time and never actually verifies. 06Z run that just came in has it at about FH354.

Do we eventually bump into the "stopped clock" paradox, or just keep kicking the can down the road until next spring?
Also extremely far out but the Euro AI ensemble has a very strong signal for 300 hours out
1794006486102.png
 
A rather conditional, low end scenario but the Euro seems to like a trough digging more SE on the 11th and inducing a low end svr setup over W Kentucky with strong ascent on the end of the 300mb jet max. Given lack of strong moisture return, threat may be more precluded.
 
LOL!
 
Figured since I did something similar last year around this time, what are the most memorable weather events of this year for ya'
just some off the top of my head, ik theres a lot more


4/27 bust
east coast bust
3/16
6/17 southern illinois outbreak
the january winter storm that caused a lot of power outages with the ice accumulation
3/15-16 kankakee ef3
4/23 enid ef4
6/11 midwest outbreak
8/11 oswego illinois ef0 (significant for me ig, tornado down my street)
7/21 east coast sig wind outbreak
7/27 appleton wisconsin ef3 (biggest debris ball on radar/ tds of 2026?)
6/21 southeast illinois / southwest Indiana tornado outbreak

or really any Illinois 2% tor risk day lol /j
 
Last edited:
Back
Top