Severe Weather 2026

[eep]

Not sure if anyone has brought it up on the forum, but yesterday there was a tornadic event in northern Alberta recently. Should be noted that this would be akin to those undocumented Russia tracks, very high latitude event.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Not here but the uk seems like decent environment but not sure how the upper air pattern is I just saw it on my feed on x

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Jbop]

 

[joshoctober16]

possible tornado , there were possible cc drops as well from a unwarned supercell in eastern canada
supercell had a hurricane like look near the end part , this happend north of the cascm radar

 

[Kds86z]

possible tornado , there were possible cc drops as well from a unwarned supercell in eastern canada View attachment 53757View attachment 53758
supercell had a hurricane like look near the end part , this happend north of the cascm radar
View attachment 53759

Hey @joshoctober16 got thread i adjusted date to today.

Severe WX Thread 'Severe Weather Threat June 19-22'

Thursday at 3:01 PM

Confidence is increasing in a higher end severe threat this weekend. Wording has gotten stronger on the new SPC day 3.

In addition, the Midwest could see severe weather Sunday and I expect that to be on the next extended.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS VICINITY FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. LARGE
TO VERY-LARGE HAIL, SEVERE WINDS (SOME 75+ MPH), AND TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE.

..CENTRAL PLAINS

MODEST SHORTWAVE RIDGING WITHIN THE PLAINS WILL BREAK DOWN AS A
SUBTLE SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING THE...

• Kds86z
• Replies: 33
• Forum: General Weather Discussion

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[tennessee storm chaser]

Looks like another big time major system on nodeks
Just beyond 8 days out. Remarkable how the models this far out agree…..

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Looks like another big time major system on nodeks
Just beyond 8 days out. Remarkable how the models this far out agree…..

06Z GFS wants another Illinois event on Sunday 6/28. However, the 500mb pattern had looked quite different on the 0Z.

SPC...

While it is mostly beyond Day 8, it is worth nothing that
deterministic, ensemble, and AI guidance all indicate a strong jet
streak and mid-level trough traversing the Rockies toward the end of
next weekend and into early next week. A strong lee cyclone would
accompany this with strong instability across the Plains. There is
still uncertainty with the timing and location of the trough, but
given the agreement in this general pattern change, a substantial
severe weather threat seems possible by the end of next weekend and
early into the following week across portions of the
central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest.

..Bentley.. 06/20/2026

 

[Brice W]

When was the last time they used any kind of like “substantial severe weather” beyond 8 days out? I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

I'll wait until ASTORP gets in range to spectate on this one.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

When was the last time they used any kind of like “substantial severe weather” beyond 8 days out? I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before.

Unusual for them to introduce that kind of wording this far out period, but especially so this time of year when synoptic-scale predictability tends to decrease.

 

[kcyalater]

illinois apparently hacked off nature for something. geez. ridiculous look on d8

 

[ThatGuy;P]

As bad as the predictability of events at ANY range is in 2026, the Spc mentioning something OUTSIDE of the outlook range piques my interest. Can’t wait to watch this significantly downtrend in the 00z Hrrr the night before!