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Severe Weather 2026

Not sure if anyone has brought it up on the forum, but yesterday there was a tornadic event in northern Alberta recently. Should be noted that this would be akin to those undocumented Russia tracks, very high latitude event.

 
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joshoctober16 said:
possible tornado , there were possible cc drops as well from a unwarned supercell in eastern canada View attachment 53757View attachment 53758
supercell had a hurricane like look near the end part , this happend north of the cascm radar
View attachment 53759
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Hey @joshoctober16 got thread :) i adjusted date to today.

Kds86z

Severe WX Thread 'Severe Weather Threat June 19-22'

Confidence is increasing in a higher end severe threat this weekend. Wording has gotten stronger on the new SPC day 3.

In addition, the Midwest could see severe weather Sunday and I expect that to be on the next extended.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS VICINITY FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. LARGE
TO VERY-LARGE HAIL, SEVERE WINDS (SOME 75+ MPH), AND TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE.

..CENTRAL PLAINS

MODEST SHORTWAVE RIDGING WITHIN THE PLAINS WILL BREAK DOWN AS A
SUBTLE SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING THE...
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tennessee storm chaser said:
Looks like another big time major system on nodeks
Just beyond 8 days out. Remarkable how the models this far out agree…..
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06Z GFS wants another Illinois event on Sunday 6/28. However, the 500mb pattern had looked quite different on the 0Z.

SPC...

While it is mostly beyond Day 8, it is worth nothing that
deterministic, ensemble, and AI guidance all indicate a strong jet
streak and mid-level trough traversing the Rockies toward the end of
next weekend and into early next week. A strong lee cyclone would
accompany this with strong instability across the Plains. There is
still uncertainty with the timing and location of the trough, but
given the agreement in this general pattern change, a substantial
severe weather threat seems possible by the end of next weekend and
early into the following week across portions of the
central/northern Plains into the Upper Midwest.

..Bentley.. 06/20/2026
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Brice W said:
When was the last time they used any kind of like “substantial severe weather” beyond 8 days out? I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before.
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Unusual for them to introduce that kind of wording this far out period, but especially so this time of year when synoptic-scale predictability tends to decrease.
 
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Wow, this sounding is interesting. You might think I pulled it from the US or anywhere else in Europe but.... I fact, this is a legitimate sounding from my home country. And I can't remember much analogs of a potent environment for Irish standards than this. The UK is also in for a big high time ceiling event in terms of thunderstorms next week ans we are too. The question is will the fuel AND the forcing be there? This is also not taken from my area, but needless to say, my expectations are rising for a thunderstorm outbreak next week. 18 SCP in Ireland isn't heard of at all.
 

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Guys, as much as like long range forecasting, I can't this far out for the 2027 and 2028 tornado season. We can't all be superior accurate as the 90-day Accuweather forecast...... LOL!
 
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