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Severe Weather 2025

lake.effect said:
Interesting setup for Indiana/Illinois today. Could be a sneaker.
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You might be in a good spot to see something. As it seems always happens, it's just a *little* too far for me to go with work until 1PM.
 
It's interesting how it was suppose to be overcast today, but yet I've seen more sunshine thus far.
 
Despite a few 11th-hour headfakes toward a more notable tornado threat, as outlined in the Xpost from Weather Track US shared above, IMO the preponderance of evidence such as the fast-moving, SW-NE oriented cold front (shown in the MD graphic above) as opposed to the more N-S oriented, slower-moving northern part I was seeing on the 18Z 12/26 GFS run back when I posted about that, still suggests mostly linear convective segments with any supercell characteristics being quite transient. SPC seems on board with that per the MD text.
 
NSSL experimental long-range severe parameters picking up on some possible severe threats from January 7-10. Too far-out to really say anything one way or another, but might be a period to watch.
1766952160298.png1766952171002.png1766952178779.png1766952186626.png
 
Clancy said:
NSSL experimental long-range severe parameters picking up on some possible severe threats from January 7-10. Too far-out to really say anything one way or another, but might be a period to watch.
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K

Thread 'Severe Weather 2026'

Might as well… because… I have for the last two years.

I would not be surprised to see discussions about next year well before December.
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