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Severe Weather 2025

12z Euro is now in line with the GFS with a low pressure system ejecting over Iowa Tuesday evening. Doesn't look like it has as much of a negative tilt as before, so still plenty of uncertainty. The 18z GFS does have the trough digging a little further south though.

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Hail-driven enhanced risk (with hatching) up for portions of central Montana today, with a corresponding 5% tornado contour. Slight risk extends into much of the High Plains.

While it doesn't look like a huge tornado threat, could be a surprise gem for chasers somewhere out there today.
 
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