N0mz
Member
Sorry, I assumed it was a dryline event. This looks like a cold front event to me, which basically guarantees there will be ample forcing, but now makes me question storm mode. As I said, there's definitely shear, but I'm not sure if it's gonna be enough. Probably gonna wait till its in short range model forecasts to dig deeper.Just checked the 00z gfs run, and I 100% agree with you. Kind of odd location, but that dryline is starting to sharpen up, and shear vectors, while not perfectly angled like you get in an OK setup, are still pretty solid. The LLJ is quite powerful as well around the 18z mark. I clocked the 500mb jet translation speed at around 38 knots, which isn't as high end like we see in April setups, is still quick enough to produce violent tornados.