Severe Weather 2025

[Kds86z]

I might be the photogenic type out in fields too unless if that’s what your also referring to with the drillbits

Strong drillbit tornados.

 

[Kds86z]

Not really sure either other than he does in fact do hype things up I feel like for example the tornado count thing at the beginning of each year really just depends on the year it self like last year my state was below the count but now I think it’s a little bit above the count so I think it depends one more thing why does everyone say that the count has been in the 1000s or something but on here it is much less like 800 something is that just a over inflated guesstimate I know it is preliminary

Yep there are tornado reports and confirmed tornadoes, reports will always be higher. I am sure you will find posts on X or the media that are bull but I follow the facts for confirmed tornadoes.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Yep there are tornado reports and confirmed tornadoes, reports will always be higher.

Ah okay thank you

 

[Kds86z]

Ah okay thank you

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornadoes_of_2025 This is pretty legit and has the actual confirmed tornadoes, their path, damage etc.

Bookmark it as a favorite

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornadoes_of_2025 This is pretty legit and has the actual confirmed tornadoes, their path, damage etc.

Bookmark it as a favorite

Sure but idk if I like to keep up with it but I do see it being posted a lot on social media and everywhere that preliminarily chart

 

[Kds86z]

Sure but idk if I like to keep up with it but I do see it being posted a lot on social media and everywhere that preliminarily chart

Do what ya want haha. But yeah . Thought I’d share

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Do what ya want haha. But yeah . Thought I’d share

Okay thanks for sharing that kds86z

 

[Kds86z]

Okay thanks for sharing that kds86z

Sure thing.

We’re all here if ya got questions and all that @KakashiHatake2000

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Sure thing.

We’re all here if ya got questions and all that @KakashiHatake2000

I see thanks if I have any questions I’ll fire them away

 

[Kds86z]

I hope June is better. What a wet month.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

I hope June is better. What a wet month.

I know it was wet in my neck of the woods too like the 7th wettest may

 

[Kds86z]

I know it was wet in my neck of the woods too like the 7th wettest may

What state ?

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

What state ?

Tennessee

 

[CheeselandSkies]

This hype was already looking sus, then the 0Z NAM came in and took a giant crap on what was left of Tuesday's potential.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

This hype was already looking sus, then the 0Z NAM came in and took a giant crap on what was left of Tuesday's potential.

I think this tweet basically confirms he's trolling. There's zero chance he thinks that's anywhere close to a realistic number.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

(Edit: Recent model runs have cooled off a bit.)

See these little cutesy wutesy supercells in East Texas tomorrow on the HRRR?



Aww they're so cute! I just wanna pinch their little....OH DEAR GOD WHAT THE F#@k!?



What's with the historic outbreak analogs this year? We've now seen 2011, 1974, 2003, and 2004. The RAP is less extreme but still pretty sus too.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Both the NAMST and FV3 are showing some action too. I wonder what the RRFS has to say (I can't access it).

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

This hype was already looking sus, then the 0Z NAM came in and took a giant crap on what was left of Tuesday's potential.

Wait, I'm looking at Tuesday now. What are you seeing? To me it looks like the NAM is more extreme than the GFS and Euro across the board for Tuesday. Are you just talking about the northern extent?

 

[JPWX]

NWS Jackson hinting at what I said back on Friday regarding MCS Potential:
"This week...

We start the week quiet with upper ridging building aloft, which
will reinforce northerly flow for the time being. As southerly
trajectories become reestablished by the middle of the week,
moisture, and thus rain and storm chances, will increase. An upper
low over Baja will eject across the central CONUS around Wednesday
evening and will work to break down the upper ridge. The nose of the
associated midlevel jet gets established over the area with a return
of a perturbed NW flow regime late week into the weekend. The
introduction of stronger flow may support more organized storms by
week`s end, but it is too early for details right now. That said,
its worth watching and I wouldn`t rule out some severe potential
late week."

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Wait, I'm looking at Tuesday now. What are you seeing? To me it looks like the NAM is more extreme than the GFS and Euro across the board for Tuesday. Are you just talking about the northern extent?

Yes, primarily the northern extent. Low-level winds have become more veered with successive runs, looks more and more like a run-of-the-mill, linear cold front setup now.