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Severe Weather 2025

So what is the reasoning of this tonight? We gonna need a case study? Lol
This isn’t a surprise to anyone who was paying attention to the mesoscale today.

Decent LLJ, 20-40knots, favorable veering in the PBL, along with a deep EIL, which is why Effective SRH values are 300-500m^2/s^2.

Cape values between 1000-2500j/kg, LLLR exceed 7 Celsius per km just towards the south west of these supercells.

LFC is pretty suspended but that’s normal for high planes set ups, and then you have plenty of mixing throughout the vertical column which allows for these classic low precipitation updrafts. Although now that it’s night this mixing has went down substantially and is causing these storms to become more rainwrapped.

The main point though is that this was in no way a “unexpected” outcome looking at the environments and mesoscale models today.
 
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