Severe Weather 2025

[Brice W]

That is one broad though there , negative titled also

Yeah I think the Midwest will start to get really active.

 

[andyhb]

Not much sign of a frontal intrusion into the Gulf here off the 12z EPS.

 

[slenker]

Not much sign of a frontal intrusion into the Gulf here off the 12z EPS.

I’m really not liking how consistent models are showing a very massive warm sector coming together. Some are showing a little disruptions here and there, but they always seem to regenerate pretty well in the later hours of the runs.

 

[Thanksgivingbrown]

Pretty wild we might have supercells firing in the PNW

 

[Ledian]

Man, that is one stretchy MD...

 

[JPWX]

Not everyday your lightning shot gets used as the main picture for Monroe County MS newspaper. The writer asked me if he could use it and I said yes

 

[Clancy]

Not everyday your lightning shot gets used as the main picture for Monroe County MS newspaper. The writer asked me if he could use it and I said yes

Congrats on the feature!

 

[Kds86z]

Not everyday your lightning shot gets used as the main picture for Monroe County MS newspaper. The writer asked me if he could use it and I said yes

Ah ya!!!!! That’s sick! @JPWX congrats

 

[JPWX]

Okay. Corrected North MS Tornado Total Count and Percentages.

Total North MS Tornadoes: 671
Total AM Tornadoes: 179
Total PM Tornadoes: 492
Highest TOR Count by County: 57 (Monroe)
2nd Highest TOR Count by County: 55 (Lee)
Lowest TOR Count by County: 15 (Benton)
Lowest Tornado Percentage: 2.2% (Benton)
Highest Tornado Percentage: 8.5% (Monroe)
2nd Highest Tornado Percentage: 8.2% (Lee)
3rd Highest Tornado Percentage: 6% (DeSoto and Prentiss)

Top 11 Highest Total Tornado Warnings by North MS County:
1. Marshall County: 142 (7%)
2. Lafayette County: 125 (6.1%)
3. Itawamba County: 120 (5.9%)
4. Tishomingo County: 112 (5.5%)
5. Panola County: 108 (5.3%)
6. Prentiss County: 108 (5.3%)
7. Lee County: 106 (5.2%)
8. Tippah County: 106 (5.2%)
9. Union County: 104 (5.1%)
10. DeSoto County: 101 (4.9%)
11. Monroe County: 100 (4.9%)

 

[Thanksgivingbrown]

This is a first

 

[JPWX]

And first 15% SIG hatch probability for large hail for Portland Oregon on record

 

[Kds86z]

This is a first

Can’t believe I’ll be arm chasing in Oregon and Washington today….

 

[Kds86z]

If Trey is optimistic watch out…

 

[KevinH]

This is a first

A little while ago on this thread (and the 3/30 thread), when I said don’t be surprised when the earth starts doing things it has never done before, etc., THIS is what I was talking about.

Anomalies are going to become more common.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Long ways out yet but GFS has been steadily hinting at the next period to watch after this coming weekend being in the 4/3 to 4/5 timeframe. Verbatim today's 12Z run would be a potentially widespread two-day Midwest to Ohio Valley event on the 4th and 5th.

 

[Ledian]

I don't think MDs are supposed to stretch out this far lol

 

[Holliemaea]

I'm here in Portland. It's hot and sunny and a little muggy. The atmosphere feels primed, as they say.

 

[atrainguy]

I'm here in Portland. It's hot and sunny and a little muggy. The atmosphere feels primed, as they say.

If things do get tornadic, what time is the action supposed to pop off?

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Holliemaea]

If things do get tornadic, what time is the action supposed to pop off?

Probably around 4:30 local is when the storms are supposed to start firing.