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We got some severe threat over portions of the southeast today
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Severe Weather 2025
- Thread starter KevinH
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tornado examiner
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It doesn’t look like its gonna completely fall apart like last time. Or at least, not as easily.
May verify as a significant outbreak in due time.
May verify as a significant outbreak in due time.
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Looks like your gunna have supercells along the warm front this afternoon around the Gulf coast, very low tornado threat but they look cool lol. 
tornado examiner
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Wow 100,000 posts
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No it's the 100,000th post lol. I post a lot but I'm no where near 100,000 posts
tornado examiner
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(confusion)No it's the 100,000th post lol. I post a lot but I'm no where near 100,000 posts
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I have the title for the 100,000th post because I posted the 100,000th post on talk weather. Not because I've posted 100,000 times lol
tornado examiner
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Ooooohhhhhhhh….lucky man
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KevinH
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Wait WHAT?!!!? lolNo it's the 100,000th post lol. I post a lot but I'm no where near 100,000 posts
KevinH
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Same lol
KevinH
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Oh…. Hahahahaha
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I noticed that tooAnother concern on the 0z GFS is that it pops a 997mb secondary low over NE MS at 21z on 3/15 as the nose of the main trough starts pushing through. That would definitely locally enhance the conditions there
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12z GFS is back on that grind lol (this time with Alabama in on some fun)
tennessee storm chaser
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That would not be good…. Talking bout backing the winds big time. Wind profiles
tennessee storm chaser
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12z GFS Takeaways:
1. Surface Based Cape is not as impressive as yesterday's 18z run, but that's to be expected.
2. How low can you go? 12z GFS now has a 968mbar low over Kansas by Friday.
3. 500mb level looks very potent by next Friday.
4. 12z depicting 120kt bulk shear value over Northeast MS by Sunday. By far the highest bulk shear I've seen in these parts in a while.
Summary:
Tight pressure gradient leading to Wind Advisories/High Wind Watches/Warnings over a widespread area. Just like with the most recent system. Multiple rounds of storms leading to flash flooding and severe weather/tornado outbreak. This potential threat will also include a large area from Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, Louisiana, MS, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Georgia, and Florida. If you don't get the storms, you'll definitely get the high wind.
1. Surface Based Cape is not as impressive as yesterday's 18z run, but that's to be expected.
2. How low can you go? 12z GFS now has a 968mbar low over Kansas by Friday.
3. 500mb level looks very potent by next Friday.
4. 12z depicting 120kt bulk shear value over Northeast MS by Sunday. By far the highest bulk shear I've seen in these parts in a while.
Summary:
Tight pressure gradient leading to Wind Advisories/High Wind Watches/Warnings over a widespread area. Just like with the most recent system. Multiple rounds of storms leading to flash flooding and severe weather/tornado outbreak. This potential threat will also include a large area from Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Arkansas, Louisiana, MS, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Georgia, and Florida. If you don't get the storms, you'll definitely get the high wind.
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tennessee storm chaser
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12z is bad
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Hopefully I have a drone by the time this weather comes though. So I can add some ground truth to storms here in North Jefferson if needed this event, if it comes to fruition. Still early but I feel like we are getting closer to locking in on a general idea now.
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And also don't sleep on Wednesday. SPC is now hinting at a possible threat on Wednesday too.