Kds86z
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- Messages
- 4,311
- Location
- Greencastle, PA
Interesting setup. They also mentioned higher probs possible but model differences.
We shall see the new day 2. This area isn’t one for enhanced risk setups. Has me intrigued.
Interesting setup. They also mentioned higher probs possible but model differences.
We shall see the new day 2. This area isn’t one for enhanced risk setups. Has me intrigued.
Eh….
It seems as if the climate patterns that Fred was talking about earlier on in March have come to fruition so far, and it looks like the back half of April is going look like it did last year (but longer duration). However, I am surprised at the westward shift in activity so early. Not saying that dixie is out of it yet (far from it) but the plains look to be the focal point for peak tornado season yet again just like last year. We will see. I booked May 5-12 to possibly chase this year.The CPC has put out new 6-10 Day and 8-14 Day outlooks, and they (especially the latter period) look to have some potential for an increase in stormy weather:
Day 6-10 temperatures:
View attachment 39717
Day 6-10 precipitation:
View attachment 39718
Day 8-14 temperatures:
View attachment 39719
Day 8-14 precipitation:
View attachment 39720
Of course, how this could translate into severe weather potential currently (as of the time of writing) remains to be seen, but we shall see...
GFS hints at a decent threat for Dixie. Around the 20-23rd timeframe potentially. My eyes are on that. Latest GFS shows 2 days of potentially severe weather. It's still far out, id like a few more days closer to the event and more models consistency before jumping on the ideaIt seems as if the climate patterns that Fred was talking about earlier on in March have come to fruition so far, and it looks like the back half of April is going look like it did last year (but longer duration). However, I am surprised at the westward shift in activity so early. Not saying that dixie is out of it yet (far from it) but the plains look to be the focal point for peak tornado season yet again just like last year. We will see. I booked May 5-12 to possibly chase this year.
I know things can change, but I definitely don’t like the look this early on showing a large change for supercell development over a large swath of Texas.This will change but this shows that severe weather/tornado season isn't over for the Deep South. This also goes hand in hand with why I can't plan fun stuff to do leading up to my birthday.
This will change but this shows that severe weather/tornado season isn't over for the Deep South. This also goes hand in hand with why I can't plan fun stuff to do leading up to my birthday.
Well, don't hesitate to reach out anytime to me. I'll be more than happy to chat with you. I may not have all the answers, but I'll give it my best.Wish we had a chat. lol. Lot of interaction during outbreaks.
Well, don't hesitate to reach out anytime to me. I'll be more than happy to chat with you. I may not have all the answers, but I'll give it my best.
That goes to anyone as well.
Reminds me a lot of April 2011Too early for specifics beyond Thursday-Friday, but 00Z CFS/GFS are quite active at least through the middle of next week, then the former suggests more systems through at least May 10th. All the days combined could affect a large swath including the Plains, Midwest, Ohio Valley and the South.
Reminds me a lot of April 2011
Thanks but I can’t @JPWX site STILL broke. Can’t send messages
We shall see the new day 2. This area isn’t one for enhanced risk setups. Has me intrigued.
A lot can change, it's far out, general disclaimers, etc. etc. all apply, but man alive is the signal there for things to ramp up significantly in the back half of April
Yeah so the website is broken for me again. Cannot react, and cannot make posts without replying now.Hope things are fixed technical wise by then..
It's hard to see more than three days out for sure.Not seeing anything on that scale at this point.