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  • Current Tropical Systems
    Erin

Severe Weather 2025

From the Day 3 outlook...

The CAPE/shear space on Friday supports a conditional threat for
strong supercells, but storm coverage remains questionable due to an
ambient environment featuring rising heights aloft and weak
large-scale forcing. Therefore, a broad Marginal risk seems
appropriate at this time, but storm intensity would likely support
higher probabilities in later outlooks if a concentrated zone of
higher storm coverage appears likely
.
 
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