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Yeah, today seems to be a bit more significant than forecast.Velocity couplet looks to be quite significant. A bit of a radar hole though.
Gotta say, I just bought RadarOmega for myself and I'm loving it. I didn't realize you could see chasers' streams directly if you want to. Waelti looks like he's about to get something big.
Yeah reminds me of that Illinois event in June….Mesoanalysis shows high instability, but little as far as SRH values go. However, lots of ample streamwise vorticity through the lowest layers, and the fact that the system is an MCV makes me believe strong tornadoes are definitely possible today. Waelti's stream finally came back, looks like.
The pds oneIs that the tornado? If so thats a heck of a tornado for a 5%.